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REPORT National Senior Certificate Examination Results 2009 Presentation by Nkosinathi Sishi –Chief Director: National Examinations and Assessment to the ANC STUDY GROUP on Basic Education, Parliament, Republic of South Africa Enhancing a world-class national examination and assessment system for the 21 st century
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Report 2009 1. Examinations in South Africa-Origin and Context 2. Magnitude and Size 3. Marking 4. SBA 5. Support Programmes 6. Analysis 7. National Stats (Overall and per Subject) 8. Provincial Stats 9. District Stats 10. Subject Statistics Annexure: A Provincial Results Annexure: B District Performance Annexure: C Subjects per province Annexure: D List of schools divided into percentage intervals Annexure: E List of Schools in Quintile 1 Annexure: E2 List of Schools in Quintile 5 Wednesday, November 11, 2015 2
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Timelines Wednesday, November 11, 2015 3 1. 2 nd NSC Examination completed on 4 December 2009 2. Marking completed on 21 December 2009 3. Mark capture completed by 22 December 2009 4. Standardisation process 28 - 30 December 2009 5. Umalusi statement on results 4 January 2010 6. Results to schools on 7 January 2010 7. Results to media and public on 7 January 2010
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Standardisation of Results Wednesday, November 11, 2015 4 1. 57 subjects were presented to Umalusi for standardisation 2. 41 Subjects were accepted as raw scores 3. 6 subjects were adjusted downwards 4. 10 subjects were adjusted upwards 5. In all cases presented no adjustments exceeded the 10% allowed either upwards or downwards 6. In the case of Mathematics: In 2008 298 821 took Mathematics. 136 503 passed and of these 63 038 passed at 50% desired for entry into most science and engineering HE fields. There was an outcry that P1 and p2 were too easy. Umalusi indicated that discrimination at the upper levels should be greater. In 2009 national examiners moved in that direction while strategically within the subject assessment guidelines laid down by the Department of Basic Education. 7. In 2009 296 165 wrote Mathematics, 133 789 passed, 85 491 passed on 40% and above and 52 866 passed on 50 % and above.
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Magnitude and Size National Examination System: 1 229 937 Wednesday, November 11, 2015 5 Schools: 1. Enrolments: Increased-biggest in history 2. National: 620 192 (includes 39 255 repeater candidates) 3. EC-15.6 % increase 4. GP-4.3% increase 5. LP-10.7 % increase 6. WC-6.3% increase Colleges 1. National: 520 235 2. 122 921 NC (V) 3. 213 900 Engineering 4. 183 414 General Studies ABET National: 89 510
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Magnitude and Size Wednesday, November 11, 2015 6 1. Examination Centres: 7 2 54 NSC 2. Marking Centres: 114 3. Markers: 35 000 4. Chief markers: 828 5. National examiners: 92 6. External moderators: 92 7. Question papers: 197 (130 National Question papers and 67 foreign languages) 8. QP adapted for Braille: 57 9. 48 QP adapted for deaf learners 10. All QP, excluding English and African languages, prepared in English and Afrikaans 11. Subjects Entries: 4 014 732 12. Moderation of SBA: A minimum of 10% portfolios moderated per subject per school
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Wednesday, November 11, 2015 2008 2009 ProvinceTotal wroteTotal AchievedTotal wroteTotal Achieved EC60294304966812934731 FS29963215032980820680 GP92723708229865970871 KZN1367437874713217680733 LP84614459588335040776 MP42153218155397825854 NW33157225543066520700 NC99487230103776356 WC43966344794493134017 National533561333604552073334718 Numbers Wrote/Passed Per Province
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Significant Gains Wednesday, November 11, 2015 24 1. 18 512 more candidates wrote the 2009 NSC examination. 2. 39 255 Candidates offered a second opportunity. 3. The quality of performances is starting to show - 40% pass and above. 4. Increased numbers qualifying for HE bachelor entries 5. 2 423 More candidates allowed admission to Bachelor studies. 6. 32% of candidates passing in 2009 obtained HE Bachelor qualification 7. 6 777 More candidates allowed admission to diploma studies. 8. Gap between Female & Male is closing (178 925 – Female: 155 791 Male) 9. Bachelor passes higher than historical trends e.g. 61 147 female and 48 550 male qualified for bachelor studies ) 10. Two rural provinces with greater share of poverty showing an upward trend in performance (EC & KZN)
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External Quality Assurance Wednesday, November 11, 2015 25 1. Umalusi approved the release of the 2009 NSC results for 8 provinces, excluding Mpumalanga 2.Mpumalanga results released on 6 January 2010. After further investigation into alleged leakage of national question papers prior to the start of the examinations
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SUBJECT RESULTS Wednesday, November 11, 2015 26
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1999-2004 Priorities 1999-2004 1. Co-operative governance 2. Improving illiteracy amongst youth and adults 3. Schools as centres of community life 4. End degradation in South African Schools 5. Develop the professional quality of the teaching force 6. Ensure the success of active learning 7. Equip youth to and adults to meet the social and economic needs of the 21 st century 8. Develop a rational, seamless Higher Education 9. Life skills
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60 Making Schools work (COLT)1999-2004 1. School effectiveness project-classroom management, school development plans, and time on task 2. National policy on school evaluation 3. Education Action Zones (EAZ) to enhance COLT-Deploying transversal teams to schools to provide learner/teacher support 4. Leadership, Management and governance development 5. Partnerships-CBOs and NGOs 6. Whole School Development-School Transformation Model 7. Conditional Grants 8. Special Attention to dysfunctional schools-National Forum for Learner Performance, National Strategy for Learner Attainment, QUIDS UP. 9. National Literacy Campaign 10. South African National Literacy Initiative (SANLI)
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Improvement of Learner Attainment 1. Advanced certificate in Education-150 teachers per province graduating since 2003 2. National Strategy for Mathematics, Science and Technology-25 June 2001 3. National literacy and Numeracy Strategy-2003 4. Dinaledi schools-2001-2009 5. National Forum for Learner Performance 1999-2004 6. National Strategy for Learner Attainment
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62 Leaner Retention in the South African Education System (May 2008) 1. Drop out rate below grade 9 is statistically insignificant 2. Drop out rate increases sharply in Grades 10-12 (Report disputes SAHRC and Mail and Guardian version) 3. No evidence of anomalies between Grades 1 and 2 (High repetition of Grade 1 cited) 4. Retention is improving, so are the levels of education attainment 5. Younger age groups have a better chance of progressing to secondary school than older age groups 6. South Africa compares favorably to other developing countries on progression rates, enrolment rates and levels of educational attainment 7. Survival rate estimates indicates improving trends in general education: This means younger age groups have a better chance of ultimately completing compulsory education than older age groups
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Learner Retention in the South African Education System May 2008 GET GroupBirth RatesAge in 2007% ultimately completing Grade 9 1.1970-7433-3771.6 2.1975-7928-3278.8 3.1980-8423-2781.1 4.1985-8918-2286.2 5.1990-9413-17Too soon to tell
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Leaner Retention in the South African Education System (May 2008) FET GroupBirth datesAge in 2007LevelPercentage with Grade 9 reaching level Grade 1089.0 1. 1970-7433-37Grade 1175.0 Grade 1259.7 Grade 1089.5 2. 1975-7928-32Grade 1175.6 Grade 1257.5 Grade 1089.2 3. 1980-8423-27Grade 1174.9 Grade 1256.7 4. 1984-8918-22 Too early to tell
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