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Published byEsmond Golden Modified over 9 years ago
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Westerling et al, 2006 Science
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Late Snowmelt YearsEarly Snowmelt Years 1972 - 2003, NPS, USFS & BIA Fires over 1000 acres
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Other Large Wildfires Have Not Changed Substantially Since the mid-1980s Large Forest Wildfires Have Increased ~300%
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Forest Fires & Temperature Correlation: 0.70
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Correlation: 0.08 Grass/Shrub Fires and Temperature
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Correlation: 0.56 Forest Fires & Timing of Spring
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snowmelt in western streamflow gauges is a regional signal, correlated with Forest Wildfire
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Most forest fires occur in years with early Springs… … at elevations around 7000 feet
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Early - Late Oct to May Precip Early - Late Mar to Aug Temp
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largest vulnerable forest area biggest increase in wildfires risks least affected by suppression
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less vulnerable to warming most affected by suppression
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vulnerable affected by suppression
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Large forest fires increased, but total ignitions did not.
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