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Military Decision-Making Process
An Overview... 1
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Objective ACTION: Describe the military decision making process (MDMP)
CONDITIONS: Given student handout, FM ch. 5 and FM ch. 3 STANDARD: Demonstrate an understanding of MDMP IAW FM ch. 5 and FM ch. 3 2
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Environmental Considerations: None
Safety Reqs: None Risk: IV, E, Low Environmental Considerations: None 3
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Commanders make battlefield decisions
Commanders make battlefield decisions. As intelligence NCOs, we must understand the factors that are involved in the military decision making process (MDMP) that we can make informed decisions, thereby saving lives of service members. Over the next hour we will discuss the factors involved in MDMP and try to simplify the process as much as possible. 4
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MODEL VS. MDMP Six Step Model RECOGNIZE & DEFINE PROBLEM RECEIVE
THE MISSION GATHER FACTS MAKE ASSUMPTIONS MISSION ANALYSIS DEVELOP POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS COURSE OF ACTION DEVELOPMENT ANALYZE EACH SOLUTION COURSE OF ACTION ANALYSIS (WARGAME) COMPARE SOLUTIONS COURSE OF ACTION COMPARISON MDMP FM 101-5 AUG 96 SELECT BEST SOLUTION COURSE OF ACTION APPROVAL 5
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MDMP A systematic approach to problem solving.
A commander and staff checklist to ensure key elements of tactical planning are not missed. Established and proven analytical process. Tool that assists the commander and staff in developing a plan. Helps the commander and staff examine a battlefield situation and reach logical decisions. Applies thoroughness, clarity, sound judgment, logic, and professional knowledge to reach a decision. 6
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7 Steps of MDMP 1. Receipt of Mission 2. Mission Analysis
3. COA Development 4. COA Analysis (Wargaming) 5. COA Comparison 6. COA Approval 7. Orders Production 7
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Military Decision-Making Process
WARNORD TO STAFF STEP 1 INITIAL CDR’s GUIDANCE MSN FROM HIGHER RECEIVE THE MISSION ASSESSMENT OF AVAILABLE TIME WARNORD RECON? 1 8
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Receipt of Mission Warning Order
Gather tools on receipt of Warning Order Map SOP’s FM’s Staff Estimates Initial Assessment Time Available / time needed IPB Light requirements Status of staff Warning Order 9
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Military Decision-Making Process
IPB: MCOO, SIT TEMPS, HVTL, CRITICAL EVENTS, & EVENT TEMP INITIAL CCIRs MISSION FROM HIGHER TIME ANALYSIS CDR’s INITIAL GUIDANCE STEP 2 INITIAL R&S PLAN MISSION ANALYSIS RESTATED MISSION MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEF CDR’s INTENT & INITIAL PLANNING GUIDANCE WARNORD 10
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17 Steps of MA Analyze Higher’s Order Initial IPB
Specified, Implied, Mission Essential Tasks Review Available Assets Determine Constraints Facts and Assumptions 11
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17 Steps of MA (Cont') Risk Assessment Initial CCIR Initial R&S Plan
Plan use of time Restated Mission MA briefing 12
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17 Steps of MA (Cont') Approve Restated Mission
Develop Initial Cdr’s Intent Issue Cdr’s Guidance Issue a Warning Order Review Facts and Assumptions 13
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Military Decision-Making Process
COA STATEMENTS & SKETCHES RESTATED MISSION CDR’s INTENT & INITIAL PLANNING GUIDANCE INITIAL CCIRs IPB PRODUCTS STEP 3 COA BRIEF (OPTIONAL) COA DEVELOPMENT PRODUCE ONLY VIABLE COAs 14
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Military Decision-Making Process
DST & BOS SYNCH MATRIX (PER WAR GAME) APPROVED COA STATEMENTS & SKETCHES UPDATED CCIRs UPDATED IPB PRODUCTS STEP 4 TGTING PRODUCTS: HPTL, AGM, TSS (PER WAR GAME) COA ANALYSIS (WAR GAME) REFINED COAs (FCOA & ECOA) REFINED EVENT TEMP FCOAs + & - (BASED ON EVALUATION CRITERIA) 15
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Military Decision-Making Process
STEP 5 COA COMPARISON DECISION MATRIX FCOAs + & - (BASED ON EVALUATION CRITERIA) DECISION BRIEFING 16
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Military Decision-Making Process
CDR APPROVES STAFF RECOMMENDATION ISSUE WARNORD ADVANCE TO STEP #7 STEP 6 DECISION BRIEF COA APPROVAL CDR DISAPPROVES STAFF RECOMMENDATION BACK TO STEP # 4 17
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Military Decision-Making Process
OPORD APPROVED COA FINALIZED CCIRs STEP 7 PRODUCE THE ORDERS R&S ANNEX 18
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Full MDMP Process occurs at all levels
Staff must apply thoroughness, clarity, sound judgment, logic, and professional knowledge to make MDMP work. More deliberate and detailed war-game More preparation and rehearsal time 19
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QUESTIONS? MDMP MDMP MDMP 20
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MDMP (TIME-CONSTRAINED)
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When time-constrained MDMP is done
Severely limited time < 10 hours for Staff not available Single COA Extensive involvement by the commander 22
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Only One Process Staff must first master the full MDMP
MDMP is a sound and proven process Omitting steps is not a solution Keys to success: Anticipation / Organization / Prior preparation 23
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More Available Planning Time Less DRIVES:
Less Level of Involvement More of CDR Less Details in CDR’s More Guidance More Flexibility/Latitude Less of Staff More Number of COAs Fewer Developed More Level of Detail/Coord Less in OPORD 24
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Four Primary Techniques
Increase CDR’s involvement CDR makes decisions during process No detailed briefings after each step CDR’s guidance is more directive Limits staff options Focuses staff on CDR’s priorities 25
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Four Primary Techniques
CDR limits COAs Saves the most time Developed and War-gamed One COA in extreme cases End-state is one Viable COA 26
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Four Primary Techniques
Maximize Parallel Planning Most critical Warning orders Verbal now Share all available info with subordinates ASAP (IPB) 27
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Advantages Maximizes use of available time
Allows subordinates more time Focuses staff on specific/directive guidance Adaptable to rapidly changing sit Allows commander to compensate for lack of or inexperienced staff 28
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Disadvantages Limits staff flexibility and initiative
Does not explore all friendly options May result in oral or frag order Increases risk of overlooking key factor or significantly better option Decreased coord and synch 29
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CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK SCIENCE OF WAR ART OF WAR Doctrine Tactics
Experience Techniques Judgement Procedures Methodology Intuition ART OF WAR VISION INTENT MISSION CONCEPT OF OPERATION 30
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QUESTIONS ?? 31
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A: Maps, SOPs , FMs and any existing estimates
Q Upon receipt of the mission from higher headquarters, what is one of the areas that the staff needs to review prior to mission analysis? A: Maps, SOPs , FMs and any existing estimates Q: How many steps are in Mission Analysis? A: There are 17 steps. Q: What products are developed in Mission Analysis? A: MCOO, Situation Templates, HVTL, Event Template, initial R&S plan Q: What is another name for COA Analysis, and what products are created in this step? A: COA Analysis is called Wargaming. The products produced are DST, BOS Sync Matrix, HPTL Q: What techniques are involved in time-constraint MDMP? Four? A: Increased CDR involvement, Direct CDR guidance, CDR limit number of COAs, Maximize parallel planning 32
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MDMP Summary 7 Steps Time Constrained 33
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