1. September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 1 Forecast Verification

2. September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 2 Forecast of Monsoon Onset over Kerala Based on 16 May 2013: 29 May 2013 Onset date forecasts are obtained from each 11 member of CFSv2 45 day forecast. Then ensemble mean is given as the final forecasted onset date. Y axis on each panel is in mm/day for rainfall (bars) and m/s for 850hPa wind(green line). Red circle is the onset date and also written at the top of each panel Onset declared by IMD: 1 st June 2013

3. September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 3 NCEP/TRMM Analysis Wind (850hPa) and R/F Verification CFSv2 GFSbc F/C from 16May IC F/C from 16May IC

4. September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 4 NCEP/TRMM Analysis Wind (850hPa) and R/F Verification CFSv2 GFSbc F/C from 26May IC F/C from 26May IC

5. September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 5 16 May IC21 May IC MISO F/C Verification FOR 25 DAYS

6. September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 6 26 May IC31 May IC MISO F/C verification For 25 Days