1. Discussion Panel: EURASIAN HYDROCARBON TRANSPORT CORRIDOR: DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGIES MYKHAILO GONCHAR NOMOS UKRAINE GDANSK, 29 NOV 2011

2. LNG can be winner in a pipeline race…

3. World deposits of shale gas, trln. cub. m. Ukraine: 1,0 USA: 20,52 China: 30,34 Poland: 4,45 Libia: 6,90 France: 4,28 Norway: 1,98 Australia: 9,42 Argentina: 18,42 Mexico: 16,20 Canada: 9,23 S.Africa: 11,54 Algeria: 5,50

4. The scheme of future gas streams according to Russian dreams NORD STREAM SOUTH STREAM YAMAL-EUROPE MAINSTREAM.UA NABUCCO ITGI+TAP Hub Baumgarten

5. Simplified matrix-table of scenarios' variants for changes of transit gas volumes via pipelines from RF to EU RussiaEU 1. Production and export increase 2. Production and export decrease 3. LNG production increase 4. Shifting of export to Asia- Pacific Region 1. Consumption and import increase 1.1. Keeping of volumes with tendencies to increase 1.2. Reduction of volumes close to critical 1.3. Keeping of volumes with tendencies to reduction 1.4. Keeping of volumes with tendencies to reduction 2. Consumption and import decline 2.1. Keeping of volumes with tendencies to reduction 2.2. Critical reduction of volumes 2.3. Instability of transit volumes 2.4. Instability of transit volumes 3. LNG demand and supply growth 3.1. Instability of transit volumes 3.2. Instability of transit volumes 3.3. Instability of transit volumes 3.4. Instability of transit volumes 4. Demand growth from non-RF sources 4.1. Instability of transit volumes 4.2. Instability of transit volumes 4.3. Instability of transit volumes 4.4. Instability of transit volumes

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