1. FAF 2 The Second Generation of Freight Analysis Framework Office of Freight Management and Operations Federal Highway Administration Tianjia Tang, PE, Ph.D. tianjia.tang@dot.gov phone: 202-366-2217 Fax; 202-366-7909

2. Presentation Outline 1)FAF Objective 2)Approaches 3)Deliverables 4)FAF2 Structure and Components 5)Question/Answer

3. FAF 2 - Objective 1)To answer freight shipment volume and congestion questions on the highway system 2)To answer freight shipment route/corridor questions 3)To answer freight shipment modal questions 4)Other derivative usages

4. FAF 2 - Objective 1)To answer freight shipment volume and congestion questions on the highway system 2)To answer freight shipment route/corridor questions 3)To answer freight shipment modal questions 4)Other derivative usages Big Picture and National Overview

5. FAF 2 - Objective 1)To answer freight shipment volume and congestion questions on the highway system 2)To answer freight shipment route/corridor questions 3)To answer freight shipment modal questions 4)Other derivative usages 1) FHWA/US DOT policy and investment analyses 2) Other derivative usages

6. FAF 2 - Approach 1)Data Sources – public data 2)Methods and Models – transparent and duplicable 3)Deliverables – data, methods, and results are publicly available

7. Deliverables Commodity O-D Related FAF2 Network Related

8. 1)The current 2002 O-D database 2) Projections for years between 2010 and 2035 in 5 year interval 3)Annual provisional estimate Deliverables Commodity O-D Related

9. 1) The 2002 O-D truck O-D database 2) Future truck O-D databases for year 2015 and 2030 3)FAF2 national highway network 4)Various products (corridor, congestion…) from truck network loading 5)FAF2 water and rail assigned networks FAF2 Network Related Deliverables

10. FAF2 Structure Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network

11. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network FAF2 Structure Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network

12. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network The 2002 O-D database – Oakridge National Lab (ORNL) The OS Studies - MacroSys Research and Technology and ORNL FAF2 Structure Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network

13. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network FAF2 Structure Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network

14. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network FAF2 Structure Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network Future O-D databases – Contractors are being solicited.

15. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network FAF2 Structure Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network

16. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network FAF2 Structure Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network

17. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network FAF2 Structure

18. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network Contactors are needed Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network FAF2 Structure

19. Base Case Commodity O-D 2002 Future Commodity O-D 2010-2035 FAF2 Highway Network Vessel Flow O-D Assigned FAF2 Network Assigned Water Network Assigned Rail Network FRA Army COE FAF2 Structure

20. 1)114 Commodity Flow Survey (CFS) regions 2)17 additional international gateways (AIG) 3)7 International trade regions A Total of 17,196,732 Matrix Cell Values for a given time period FAF 2 : Commodity Geographical Resolution

21. 114 CFS Zones ( Green and White )

22. FAF 2 - 13 AIG ( Magenta ) Land Crossings: Laredo TX; Blaine WA; International Falls MN; Champlain/Rouses Point NY; Alexandria Bay NY; El Paso TX; Brownsville/Hidalgo,TX. Ports: Beaumont TX; Charleston SC; Portland ME;Savannah GA; Morgan City LA; Corpus Christi TX; Lake Charles LA; Baton Rouge LA; Mobile AL; Airport: Anchorage AK

23. FAF 2 - 7 International Trade Regions 1)Canada 2)Mexico 3)Latin and South America 4)Asia 5)Europe 6)Middle East 7)Rest of the World

24. FAF 2 – Transportation Mode 1)Truck 2)Rail 3)Water 4)Air 5)Pipeline 6)Intermodal 7)Others

25. FAF 2 – Commodity Classification Standard Classification for Transported Goods (SCTG) At 2-digit level, there are 42 commodities+ 1 unknown.

26. FAF 2 – Commodity Classification Categories Outside CFS 1)Farm based agricultural 2)Fishery 3)Crude petroleum 4)Natural gas 5)Municipal solid waste 6)Construction 7)Logging 8)Services 9)Publishing 10) Retail 11) Household & Business Moves 12) Import 13) Export continued …

27. FAF 2 – Future Goods Movement The regional economic growth projections for years between 2010 and 2035 are analyzed through economic models for three different scenarios – normal growth, low growth, and high growth. These growth data are commodity specific.

28. FAF 2 – Routing Future Goods Movement For a given commodity, the modal split remains constant unless information indicates otherwise. This does not guarantee that total modal share is constant. If commodity shares are changed, then total modal share will be changed, too.

29. 2002 O-D CD Content

30. Download site: http://www.ops.fhwa.dot.gov/freight/freight_analysi s/faf/index.htm http://www.ops.fhwa.dot.gov/freight

31. 1: FAFOD_2002.mdb 2: FAFOD_DOM_2002.cvs FAFOD_BRD_2002.cvs FAFOD_SEA_2002.cvs 3:faf_od_users_guide.pdf 2002 O-D CD Content

32. Data Format The current 2002 FAF2 OD CD Domestic FAFOD_2002.mdb

33. FAFOD_BRD_2002 FAFOD_SEA_2002 Data Format

34. FAFOD_BRD_2002 FAFOD_SEA_2002 Data Format

35. FAF 2 - Status 1)2002 base case database – January 2006 2)2005 annual provisional estimate – Summer 2006 3)Other annual provisional estimate – March of the following year 4)Flow database – Fall 2006 5)Projections of 2010-2035 – Fall 2006 6)Loaded network – Fall 2006 39

36. That’s all. Thank You! TIANJIA.TANG@DOT.GOV