1. Mark Noll & Blake Atherton Oil and Aid

2. Overview (1) Research questions (2) Hypotheses (3) Methodology (4) Results (5) Conclusion (we don’t have one yet!)

3. Research Questions a.Do oil-exporting nations receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations? a.Which donors, if any, tend to give out the most aid to these oil-wealthy nations and why?

4. Hypotheses a.Oil-exporting nations receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations a.Oil-vulnerable donors give more aid to exporting nations than oil-secure donors do

5. Independent Variable: oil exports Dependent Variable: foreign aid received Timeframe: 1986-2008 Oil-secure: Canada, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States Oil-vulnerable: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Spain Methodology

6. Preliminary Results a.Oil-exporting nations do receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations a.Oil-vulnerable donors give more aid to oil exporters than do oil-secure donors

7. Foreign Aid and Oil Exports

9. Controlling for Other Factors

10. Vulnerable vs. Secure Vulnerable: ● Regression coefficient of.1534791 ● T value of 4.86 Secure: ● Regression coefficient of.07191 ● T value of 2.63

11. Caveats and Next Steps ● Hone statistical methods ● Binary categories ● Still some selection bias

12. Questions Questions? Feedback?