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Natural Gas: Summer 2005 Steve Harvey FERC July 25, 2005 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

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Presentation on theme: "Natural Gas: Summer 2005 Steve Harvey FERC July 25, 2005 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission."— Presentation transcript:

1 Natural Gas: Summer 2005 Steve Harvey FERC July 25, 2005 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

2 Gas prices for the past year (Daily NYMEX prices for the prompt month) Price ($/MMBtu)

3 Gas prices for the last year have remained near recent highs Henry Hub Price ($/MMBtu)

4 Gas prices are not related to storage inventory levels alone

5 Clearly gas prices have some relationship to oil prices too

6 Gas prices do appear related to oil and storage inventories 2005 1999-2003 2004

7 Other effects may relate to financial trading

8 Financial trading prices appear to be driving physical prices at times $6.50 $6.70 $6.90 $7.10 $7.30 $7.50 $7.70 $7.90 $8.10 $8.30 $8.50 10:0010:3011:0011:3012:0012:3013:0013:3014:00 Price ($ /MMBtu) EIA Report Issued Monthly Index for December = $7.78 NYMEX Settlement for December = $7.976

9 Hard to measure the extent of financial trading Open Interest (thousand contracts)

10 Financial trading activity appears to be increasing in 2004


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