Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byMerry Cunningham Modified over 9 years ago
1
2009 Economic and Commodity Outlook ASFMRA Denver, Colorado October 30, 2009
2
2009 THREE BIGGEST EVENTS of LAST TWO WEEKS
3
2009 October 17,2009 Purdue 26 THE Ohio State 18
4
2009 October 24,2009 Purdue 24 Illinois 14
5
2009 October 24,2009 Iowa State 9 Nebraska 7
6
2009 General Economy Where are we headed…
7
2009 CASH for CLUNKERS was A GOOD DEAL
8
2009 GOT a LOT of OBAMA BUMPER STICKERS OFF THE ROAD
9
2009 Economic Overview While some economic indicators are hinting the recession is ending – it isn’t. Unemployment remains high with little sign of improvement. Deflation continues. This will be the decade of Three Bubbles: 1. The High Tech Bubble of 2000. 2. The Housing Bubble of 2005-06. 3. The Commodity Price Bubble of 2008.
10
2009 Name this country…
11
2009 Richest in the world Largest military Center of world business and finance Strongest education system World center of innovation and invention Currency the world standard of value Highest standard of living
12
2009 ENGLAND
13
2009 In 1900
14
2009 1 of every 8 couples married in the U.S. last year met online
15
2009
19
Dow Jones Industrial Average, Continuous Monthly With Disparity Ratio
20
2009 Dow Jones Industrial Average, Daily
21
2009 US Dollar Index, Continuous Monthly
22
2009
27
Gold Futures, Continuous Monthly
28
2009 GCZ9
29
2009 Crude Oil, Continuous Monthly (NYMEX)
30
2009
37
Agriculture Overview Grain prices have likely bottomed for this marketing year Livestock profits will improve Ethanol production will increase Fertilizer supplies could get tight All ag commodity prices will be very volatile.
38
2009
39
Ethanol Plants in Production
40
2009 Ethanol vs. Gasoline Futures
41
2009
44
Can Ethanol Demand Reach 4.2 Billion Bushels in 2009/10?
45
2009
46
Natural Gas Futures, Continuous Monthly
47
2009
73
Corn Continuous Monthly Chart (With Disparity Ratio)
74
2009 December 2009 Corn Futures
75
2009 December 2010 Corn Futures
76
2009
92
Soybean Continuous Monthly Chart (With Disparity Ratio)
93
2009 November 2009 Soybean Futures
94
2009 November 2010 Soybean Futures
95
2009
100
HRS: Underlined, SRW: Bold, HRW: Normal
101
2009
105
Wheat Continuous Monthly Chart (With Disparity Ratio)
106
2009 December 2009 Wheat Futures
107
2009
113
Source: Iowa State University
114
2009
118
Live Cattle Continuous Monthly Chart (With Disparity Ratio)
119
2009 December 2009 Live Cattle Futures
120
2009 Source: Iowa State University
121
2009
126
Lean Hogs Continuous Monthly Chart (With Disparity Ratio)
127
2009 December 2009 Lean Hog Futures
128
2009
134
235 236* All data is in thousand heads. Bold: End 2004 * 2009 data: Source, USDA, as of August 435 548* 650 618* 565 545* 307 357* 1,236 1,257* 460 469* 319 420* 321 320* 1,741 1,782* Number of Cows 9,013 9,269* Total US Cows
135
2009
136
Class III Milk Continuous Monthly Chart (With Disparity Ratio)
137
2009 December 2009 Class III Milk Futures
138
2009 In Summary Farm income will be down in 2009, due primarily to livestock. Profits will bounce back in 2010. Producers in the southern half of the US will be mostly price buyers, not quality buyers, in the coming months. Yield increases in corn and soybeans are starting to ramp up sharply. Livestock prices have already made a major bottom.
139
2009 Land prices and cash rents will stay strong in the Midwest. California and other states impacted by dairy losses, water availability and environmental issues will soften Consolidation of farms will continue increasing the demand for farm management services and appraisals
140
2009 For More Information on the Brock Report, write, email or call BROCK ASSOCIATES 2050 W. Good Hope Rd. Milwaukee, WI 53209 (800) 558-3431 www.brockreport.com rabrock@brockreport.com
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.