1. Korean Astronomical Society Meeting, April 22, 2005 Scott Gaudi Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics & Topics in the Search for Extrasolar Planets

2. Extrasolar Planet Surveys ~150 Planets Found Radial Velocity, Transits, and Microlensing x

3. Sara Seager (DTM), Gabriela Mallen-Ornelas (CfA) (and Very Hot Jupiters)

6. Detection  Many Stars  Frequency ~1%, Transit Probability ~10%  Accurate Photometry  Depth < 1%  Lots of Observing Time  Strong aliasing effects Confirmation and Parameter Estimation  Accurate Light Curves  Precision ~ 0.1%  Follow-up  Spectroscopic  Radial Velocity Transits – Requirements

7. Transits – Flavors Bright Targets RV Follow-up All-Sky/Large FOV Faint Targets Field Stars (Galactic Disk) Clusters Amenable to Follow-up RV, Oblateness, Atmospheres, Rings, Moons, etc. Not Amenable to Follow-up Primaries too faint for detailed study Masses, Radii, Periods only.  Statistics

8. Radial Velocity Surveys ~150 Planets Found Pile-up at P ~ 3 days Shortest Period P = 2.55 days VHJ:1, HJ:15 6 Planets Found (OGLE and TrES) Discovered Very Hot Jupiters P ~ 1 day VHJ:3, HJ:2 Transit Surveys

9. Radial Velocity Surveys vs. Transit Surveys Inconsistent? Selection effects: RV: TR: RV and TR surveys consistent at ~ 1 sigma Relative Frequency of VHJ to HJ is ~10-20%

10. Planetary Radii No Core Core

11. What do we know about Hot Jupiters? One in ~100 FGK Stars has a HJ One in ~500-2000 FGK Stars has a VHJ Pile up at ~3 days? Typical radii ~ Jupiter radius HD209458b anomalously large Most HJ have massive cores?

12.  FUN Collaboration (or, How to Find Planets with Microlensing)

13. x

14. Microlensing and Planets (Lens Equation) (Point Lens) (Einstein Ring Radius)

15. Microlensing and Planets If: Then: two images.

16. Microlensing and Planets Single Lens Parameters: Impact parameter Time of Maximum Mag. Timescale Idea: Paczynski 1986, LMC: Alcock et al 1993, Aubourg et al 1993, Bulge: Udalski et al 1993

17. Microlensing and Planets Single Lens Parameters: Impact parameter Time of Maximum Mag. Timescale Planet Parameters: Angle wrt Binary Axis Angular Separation Mass Ratio - q Maximized at

18. Microlensing and Planets Advantages: Sensitive to Jupiters at 1-10 AU. No Flux Needed. Extend Sensitivity to Lower Masses. Disadvantages: Follow-up Difficult. Non-repeatable. Short Timescale Perturbations. Basic Requirements: Nearly Continuous Sampling. Good Photometry for Detection.

19. Alerts and Follow-up “Survey” Collaborations Insufficient Sampling Real-time Alerts Current Alerts MOA (~75 per year) OGLE III (~500 per year) Optical Depth to  lensing

20. Alerts and Follow-up Follow-up Collaborations High Temporal Sampling Good Photometry Current Collaborations EXPORT (12 events) (Tsapras et al. 2002) MOA (30 events) (Bond et al 2002) MPS (50 events) (Rhie et al. 2000) PLANET (100+ events) (Albrow et al. 1998)  FUN (50 events) (Yoo et al. 2003)

21. OGLE-2004-BLG-235/MOA-2004-BLG-53 Microlensing Follow-Up Network (  FUN) Telescopes: CTIO 1.3m (ex-2MASS) Wise 1m OGLE III Example lightcurve: OGLE-2003-BLG-423 Magnification ~ 250! MOA + OGLE Collaborations intra-caustic (Bond et al. 2004, ApJ, 606, L155)

22. OGLE III and  FUN Microlensing Follow-Up Network (  FUN) Telescopes: CTIO 1.3m (ex-2MASS) Wise 1m OGLE III Example lightcurve: OGLE-2003-BLG-423 Magnification ~ 250! (Yoo et al. 2004)

23. OGLE III and  FUN Microlensing Follow-Up Network (  FUN) Telescopes: CTIO 1.3m (ex-2MASS) Expected Results: 96 magnification >10 events per year Each for 8 hours, over 6 nights near peak from CTIO 3 year campaign

24. Andrew Gould (OSU), Cheongho Han (Chungbuk)

25. x

26. Earth-mass Planets and Future Experiments Radial Velocity: Next Generation Survey? 1 m/s limit? - hard + ground based, flexible,cheap, unlimited observing time, nearby stars (TPF) Astrometry: SIM 1  as limit - space-based, very expensive, hard to confirm + flexible, nearby stars (TPF) Transits: Kepler - spaced-based, expensive, distant stars, very difficult to confirm +habitable, simple Microlensing: MPF, Ground Based? -expensive, distant stars, impossible(?) to confirm +very low mass planets, robust statistics, many detections Direct: TPF, Darwin

27. Comparison with other methods SIM: P=3yr, 2000 hours over 5 years,  =1  as. Kepler: Habitable zone, Kepler parameters RV: P=0.5yr, four dedicated 2m telescopes, 60,000 hrs,  =1m/s Microlensing: a=2.5AU Earth-mass Planets and Future Experiments Earth-mass planet sensitivities What S/N threshold? “realistic” Realistic: S/N ~25 “conventional” Conventionally: S/N ~ 8 (Gould, Gaudi, & Han 2004) optimized Optimization

28. Comparison with other methods, cont. Every star has a Earth-mass planet with period P Each technique is confronted with the same ensemble of planetary systems. Even under optimistic assumptions, only ~5 Earth-mass planets with P=1 year detected with S/N > 25! Efforts can and should be made to ensure and improve these statistics. Earth-mass Planets and Future Experiments Earth-mass planet sensitivities (Gould, Gaudi, & Han 2004)

29. Summary x 1. RV & TR Surveys consistent 2. VHJ/HJ ~ 10-20% 3. HJ require massive cores? 4.  Lensing – sensitive to wide, small mass planets 5. Constrain frequency of “Cool Neptunes” to 10 % 6. Strong dependence on S/N threshold 7. Statistics on Earth-Mass planets may be meager