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Fiscal Policy and the Multiplier Module 21 April 2015.

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1 Fiscal Policy and the Multiplier Module 21 April 2015

2 Expansionary and Contractionary  An expansionary fiscal policy, like the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act pushed the aggregate demand curve to the right  A contractionary fiscal policy, like Johnson’s tax surcharge, pushes the aggregate demand curve to the left  This module discusses HOW MUCH it shifts and that is determined by the multiplier

3  1/(1-MPC) is the general multiplier – with MPC meaning marginal propensity to consume  If the marginal propensity to consume is 0.5, the multiplier is 1/(1-.05) = 1/0.5 = 2. Given a multiplier of 2, a $50 billion increase in government purchases of goods and services would result in a real GDP of $100 billion. $50 billion is the initial effect and $50 billion is the subsequent effect.  Same same if the gov spends less, the multiplier would then be negative

4 Vocabulary  Lump-sum taxes – taxes that don’t depend on the taxpayer’s income – this is rare  Automatic stabilizers – government spending and taxation rules that cause fiscal policy to be automatically expansionary when the economy contracts and automatically contractionary when the economy expands  Transfer payments fall under that automatic category – unemployment benefits increase in a contractionary economy and decrease in an expansionary one  Discretionary fiscal policy – fiscal policy that is the result of deliberate actions by policy makers rather than rules.

5 Table 21.1 Hypothetical Effects of a Fiscal Policy with a Multiplier of 2 Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First Edition Copyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers

6 1.The MPC I. has a negative relationship to the multiplier II. Is equal to 1 III. Represents the proportion of consumers’ disposable income that is spent a.I only b.II only c.III only d.I and III only e.I, II, and III only

7 2. Assume that taxes and interest rates remain unchanged when government spending increases and that both savings and consumer spending increase when income increases. The ultimate effect on real GDP of $100 million increase in government purchases of goods and services will be: a.An increase of $100 million b.An increase of more than $100 million c.An increase of less than $100 million d.An increase of either more than or less than $100 million depending on the MPC e.A decrease of $100 milllion


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