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Many Ways to Win Kevin Fleming April 26, 2013
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education counts $114,800 $41,473 $33,938 $63,310
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USA Median Annual Earnings by Education $200,000 in debt Earning $36,000/year
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(but skills count more) education counts
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Human Pie Chart
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The Fate of 20 Ninth Graders (CA) 6 drop out (30%) 6 graduate & go to work (30%) 8 Enroll in college (40%) 4 Drop out (20%) 4 Graduate in five years (20%) 2 Take “gray collar” jobs, nationally (10%) 2 Win the one-way-to-win game (10%)
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Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 3.5% drop out annually (9-12 th grade: 1,631 total) Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school
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Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 3.5% drop out annually (9-12 th grade: 1,631 total) Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school Among the 86% that become seniors (11,535) 84% of them graduated high school (9,719)
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Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 3.5% drop out annually (9-12 th grade: 1,631 total) Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school Among the 86% that become seniors (11,535) 84% of them graduated high school (9,719) Among those that graduated, 34.3% of 12 th grade graduates completed all courses required for UC and/or CSU entrance
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Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 100% 9 th graders - 14% dropouts - 16% non-graduating seniors - 65.7% not university bound 24.78% of 9 th graders could directly enroll in university 100% 9 th graders - 14% dropouts - 16% non-graduating seniors - 21% not college bound (79.3% postsecondary enrollment) 57.07% of 9 th graders eventually enroll in some college
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75% of Ventura county 9 th graders Don’t play the One-Way-to-Win game
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43% of Ventura county 9 th graders Do not enroll in postsecondary education…
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The Three“Rs” Reading Writing Arithmetic Relevance Reality Five
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Most Jobs in the Workplace are Middle Skilled: (e.g. the Health Care Industry) Ratio: 1 to 2 to 7
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Not Everyone needs a BA. By 2018, most jobs will not require a BA Source: March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018, as reported in Pathways to Prosperity (Harvard, February, 2011)
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“The society which scorns excellence in plumbing because plumbing is a humble activity and tolerates shoddiness in philosophy because it is an exalted activity will have neither good plumbing nor good philosophy. Neither its pipes nor its theories will hold water” - John Gardner, 1961
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Median, 25th Percentile, and 75th Percentile Earnings of Full-Time Year-Round Workers Ages 25 and Older, by Gender and Education Level, 2008 Sources: The College Board, Education Pays 2010, Figure 1.5; U.S. Census Bureau, 2009; calculations by the authors. AA/AS recipients $26,800 - $68,000 BA/BS recipients $33,900 - $96,800
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The fact is that large numbers of CA college graduates leave school as unsure of what they will do “ when they grow up ” (except perhaps continue to go to school) as they were when they started. – CA Postsecondary Education Commission
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30% of associate degree holders have higher annual earnings as 4-yr grads
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College-Prep and CTE are complementary not competing goals...
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College-Prep and CTE are complementary not competing goals ! Students in CTE pathways: –More likely to complete a-g requirements (50% vs 34%) –More likely to pass the CAHSEE (71% vs 55%) –Had higher graduation rates (96% vs 87%) –Had lower drop out rates –Higher postsecondary participation
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UC Riverside – ROP Study Compared to students with similar academic background, ROP students: –raised GPAs more rapidly –attended college in larger numbers –females/minorities earned higher incomes –received raises and promotions at a higher rate (UCR, 2007)
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Determine the Goal College? College and graduation? College, graduation and commensurate employment?
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CTE is to some teens what AP & Honors is to others
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Thank You! Kevin Fleming www.TelosES.com
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