1. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. The Source for Maritime Information and Insight Copyright © 2008 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1

2. OPTIMAR: Benchmarking strategic options for European shipping and for the European maritime transport system in the horizon 2008-2018 Christopher PålssonNiklas Bengtsson DirectorSenior Consultant June, 2010

3. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. The OPTIMAR Project Analysis of the European maritime industry Shipping Ports Maritime related industry and maritime administrations Identification of drivers for change SWOT analysis Scenarios Strategic recommendations 2010 update

4. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Global Redesign: rebalance of GDP Forecast 2010 GDP larger than 2008 GDP

5. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. GDP development in influential non-EU countries

6. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Real GDP development in major EU15 countries

7. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Real GDP development is some previously high growth EU27 countries

8. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. World Trade: Pushed Two Years -7% Forecast 2010 trade almost equal with trade in 2008

9. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Cargo Tonnes in EU 27 Ports 2008

10. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Cargo Tonnes in EU 27 Ports Index 2004=100

11. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Total world fleet development from 1976 and onwards, gt

12. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. World Fleet by Flag percent share based on gross tonnes

13. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. World Fleet by Country of Owner percent share based on gross tonnes 14% 13% 4% 9%

14. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Recommendations Facilitating Seaborne Trade External relations – 1. WTO, 2. Multilateral agr. Port infra-structure – fast track Competition in ports – port package Short sea shipping Preserving smaller ports Maritime space without barriers ICT – global standards Transport policy – research programme

15. Copyright © 2010 IHS Global limited. All Rights Reserved. Recommendations creating a Sustainable Future for Industry and Environment IMO – Ratification based on ownership (DOC) + One voice Safety & Security Uniform interpretation of rules Regulations perused and compliance controlled – ongoing task Transition to sustainability – continued research efforts State aid Short term there is no need to revisit current schemes Ahead the industry specific treatment should be questioned. Availability and quality of crew Coordinate and support campaigns. Support for apprenticeship

16. Thanks! Christopher Pålsson Niklas Bengtsson chris.palsson@ihs.comniklas.bengtsson@ihs.com June, 2010