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Chapter 6 Markets, Prices, Supply, and Demand
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Objective: understand short-run economic fluctuations. Micro foundations: the choices made by consumers and firms. Supply and demand behavior. The neoclassical way: the market clears.
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Timing States: B t-1, K t-1, P t-1, M t-1 They are values at the end of period t-1, or at the beginning of period t. They are real or nominal assets at the end of period t.
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Timing Economic agents (period t) Firm: Y t =A t F(K t-1, L t ); Consumer: U(C t, 1-L t ); Both are price-takers. Markets (period t) Rental market: R t-1 ; Bonds market: i t-1 ; Labor market: w t ; Money market: P t.
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Timing Controls: C t, L t, B t, K t, They are household’s decisions based on observed prices and real assets; Real assets include interest and rental income paid in period t. States at the end of period t: B t, K t, P t, M t
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Markets in the Macroeconomy Direct ownership of firms: no stock market. The goods market: nothing peculiar. The labor market Inelastic supply of labor: L s =L t ; L d determined by firms’ behavior. The rental market Inelastic supply of capital: K s =K t-1 ; K d determined by firms’ behavior.
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Markets in the Macroeconomy The bond market: borrowing between households. The money market Inelastic supply of money: M s =M t ; Household demands m d =M d /P t.
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Money as a Medium of Exchange All exchange uses money. Dollar amounts are nominal terms. Money earns no interest.
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Markets and Prices The money market The general price level: P t. The labor market Nominal wage: w t. Real wage: w t /P t.
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Markets and Prices The rental market Nominal rental price: R t-1. Real rental price: R t-1 /P t. Nominal rental income (payment): R t-1 K t-1. The bond market Nominal interest rate: i t-1. Nominal interest income: i t-1 B t-1. In aggregation, the net borrowing must be zero.
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The Budget Constraint Nominal income Profit: t =P t A t F(K t-1, L t )-(w t L t +R t-1 K t-1 ) Wage income: w t L t. Rental income: R t-1 K t-1. Net nominal rental income: R t-1 K t-1 - P t K t-1. Rate of return: R t-1 /P t - . Interest income: i t-1 B t-1. Total income: t +w t L t +(R t-1 /P t - )P t K t-1 +i t-1 B t-1.
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The Budget Constraint Nominal rates of return from t-1 to t: On bonds: i t-1 ; On capital: ; Real rates of return from t-1 to t: On bonds: ; The Fischer equation: On capital:.
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The Budget Constraint Nominal consumption: P t C t. Assets Capital, bonds, and money. Nominal income from holding money: zero. Capital and bonds must yield the same real rates of return. The nominal income can be put as t +w t L t +r t-1 P t K t-1 +i t-1 B t-1 = t +w t L t +r t-1 P t K t-1 +((1+r t-1 )P t /P t-1 -1)B t-1
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The Budget Constraint Household budget constraint Nominal value of assets: M t-1 +B t-1 +P t K t-1. Nominal saving: M t + B t +P t K t Budget constraint in nominal terms: P t C t + B t +P t K t + M t = t +w t L t +i t-1 B t-1 +r t-1 P t K t-1 Budget constraint in real terms:
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The Budget Constraint The budget line
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Market Clearing Profit maximization The firm tries to maximize the real profit: Assuming competitive behavior: price taker. Maximize profit by choosing over K d and L d.
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Market Clearing The labor market Demand for labor: The production function exhibits diminishing marginal productivity in labor; The labor demand curve is downward sloping. Supply of labor: L s =L t. Market clearing:
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Market Clearing Labor market clears
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Market Clearing The Market for capital services Demand for capital: The production function exhibits diminishing marginal productivity in capital; The demand curve for capital is downward sloping. Supply of capital: K s =K t-1. Market clearing: The real interest rate:
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Market Clearing Market of capital services clears
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Market Clearing Zero profit at equilibrium
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The budget constraint Budget constraint in nominal terms: P t C t + B t +P t K t + M t =w t L t +i t-1 B t-1 +r t-1 P t K t-1 P t C t +B t +P t K t +M t =w t L t +(1+i t-1 )B t-1 +(1+r t-1 )P t K t- 1 +M t-1 P t C t +B t +P t K t +M t =w t L t +(1+i t-1 )B t-1 +(R t-1 /P t +1- )P t K t-1 +M t-1 P t C t +B t +P t K t +M t =P t A t F(K t-1, L t )+(1+i t-1 )B t-1 +(1- )P t K t-1 +M t-1
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The budget constraint Budget constraint in real terms:
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Choice of future assets Future rates of return: i t and R t They are determined by future market conditions; Future price level: P t+1 It is determined by future market conditions; Real rates of return: (1+i t )P t /P t+1 -1 and R t /P t+1 - ; The choice of B t and K t is based on expectations on future rates of return and future price level.
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Real Business Cycle Money is left untreated: Assume that M t =M; Assume that P t =P; It follows that i t-1 =r t-1. Household budget constraint: PC t + B t +P K t =w t L t +i t-1 B t-1 +r t-1 PK t-1 PC t +B t +PK t =PA t F(K t-1, L t )+(1+i t-1 )B t-1 +(1- )PK t-1
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