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FIN 614: Financial Management Larry Schrenk, Instructor
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1.What is Behavioral Finance? 2.Behavioral vs. Traditional Finance 3.Prospect Theory 4.Biases and Heuristics
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Finance and Psychology Cognitive Errors in Financial Decision- Making Questions EMH Connections to Evolutionary Psychology and Neuroscience
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Traditional Rational Expected Utility EMH Behavioral Bounded Rationality Prospect Theory Market Imperfections
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Preference for Certainty Loss Aversion ‘Relative’ Evaluation
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Overconfidence/Optimism Representativeness Anchoring Availability Framing Statistical Problems
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Explanation 90% of Drivers Claim above Average Skill 99% of Freshman Claim Superior Intelligence Illusion of Control Financial Effects and Implications Excessive Trading Capital Budgeting
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Explanation Base Rates Under-Utilized Sample Size Neglect Financial Effects and Implications Excessive Extrapolation Small Sample as Representative of Population
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Explanation Initial Arbitrary Value Attila the Hun Experiment Financial Effects and Implications Benchmarks
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Explanation Recent Issues Salient Issues Financial Effects and Implications Over-Reaction to News
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Explanation Frame-Dependent Decisions ‘Asian Disease’ Experiment Financial Effects and Implications Effects of Frames on Financial Decisions
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Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice and she participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations. Which of the following statements are more probable? A. Linda is active in the feminist movement. B. Linda is a bank teller. C. Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement.
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FIN 614: Financial Management Larry Schrenk, Instructor
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