1. Arlington Public Schools Capacity Planning Study – Final Report MGT of America, Inc. December 3, 2009

2. Agenda for Tonight What we did What we learned What we concluded

3. Your Team – Some Friendly Faces Your Team – Dr. Bill Carnes – Partner-in-Charge Dan Schmidt – Project Director Dr. Ed Humble Lynda Fender Karen Gohlsen Lani Colley Susan Drattlo Greg Nichols MGT of America has offices in: Olympia, WA Sacramento, CA Austin, TX Tallahassee, FL Washington, D.C. Schmidt Associates – an Indiana-based facility planning, design, and construction management firm MGT and Schmidt have teamed for projects in: - St. Louis Public Schools, MO - State of Colorado - Rapid City Area Schools, SD - Fort Wayne Community Schools, IN - MSD of Decatur Township, IN - The Public Schools of Brookline, MA - Smyth County Public Schools, VA - Vigo County School Corporation, IN - Porter Township Schools, IN - Fresno Unified School District, CA - State of Wyoming - Citrus County Public Schools, FL - Boulder Public Schools, CO - Ann Arundel Public Schools, MD - Indianapolis Public Schools, IN

4. Let’s begin at the end… YOU ARE CROWDED!

5. What we did…

6. It was a busy three months! Task Wk of 9/7 Wk of 9/14 Wk of 9/21 Wk of 9/28 Wk of 10/5 Wk of 10/12 Wk of 10/19 Wk of 10/26 Wk of 11/2 Wk of 11/9 Wk of 11/16 Wk of 11/23 Project Initiation Input Gathering Facility Tours Data Analysis Framework Development Final Report Preparation

7. Over the last three months we… Toured every school in the Division Gained an understanding of the programs offered across the Division and in each building Met with Division staff to review data and previous reports Met with county officials to discuss growth in the county Conducted a community meeting Met with the Projections/Capacity Subcommittee of the Facilities Advisory Council Counted the instructional spaces in each school Calculated the capacity of each school as it is currently used Validated the Division’s capacity calculation methodology

8. Studied demographic and enrollment trends Prepared enrollment projections Validated the Division’s enrollment projection methodology Analyzed the current and projected utilization of each school and grade band Identified possible solutions to crowding issues Created a framework for making capacity decisions Developed a Flash media presentation to explain the framework Prepared the final report for your consideration Over the last three months we also…

9. What we learned…

10. Your enrollment is expected to continue to increase. WEIGHTING FACTORS ModelWeight Average Percentage Growth13% Students Per Household25% Cohort Survival50% Linear Regression13%

11. You are already crowded… ModelGrade BandCapacity09 - 1010 - 1111 - 1212 - 1313 - 1414 - 1515 - 1616 - 1717 - 1818 - 1919 - 20 MGT Enrollment Projections Elementary 10,738 11,454 11,791 12,009 12,074 12,149 11,982 11,854 11,869 11,920 12,015 Middle 3,920 4,318 4,414 4,578 4,688 4,831 4,978 4,952 4,825 4,669 4,627 High 5,575 5,979 6,080 6,154 6,210 6,340 6,474 6,578 6,686 6,931 6,980 Current Use Model Elementary11,16696%103%106%108% 109%107%106% 107%108% Middle4,25392%102%104%108%110%114%117%116%113%110%109% High5,371104%111%113%115%116%118%121%122%124%129%130%.…and you will continue to be crowded in the future.

12. What we concluded…

13. Your methodologies are sound. Your capacity calculation methodology is similar to ours. Your enrollment projection methodology is a standard and accepted practice across the country and has proven effective. We see what you see…you are crowded.

14. Agenda for Tonight What we did What we learned What we concluded So…now what?

15. The Six Strategies (for addressing crowding issues) Changing the delivery, location, or number of programs Changing enrollment practices Adding physical capacity Changing grade configuration Changing the master schedule Increasing class size

17. MGT of America, Inc. Thank you!