1. Regional Florida Catastrophic Planning: Focus on South Florida and the Herbert Hoover Dike Region Executive Briefing - June 06, 2007

2. Overview of Florida Catastrophic Planning Project Purpose  Direct technical assistance to target counties  Ensure a “local up” approach  Develop decision matrices  Examine policies and procedures Project Goal Develop regional response and recovery annexes for a Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD) failure and South Florida Catastrophic hurricane

3. The Scenario: Category 5 Hurricane Ono Nearing the Bahamas The Scenario: Category 5 Hurricane Ono Nearing the Bahamas

4. Planning Scenario

5. Extended Track  How does this affect in-state mutual aid/resources?  How does this affect out-of-state assistance?

6. Consequence Projections County Percent with No Damage Percent with Minor Damage Percent with Moderate Damage Percent with Severe Damage Percent Destroyed Percent with Any Damage Broward0.08%1.36%8.56%36.05%53.95%99.92% Collier94.96%3.87%1.04%0.10%0.03%5.04% Glades4.33%9.98%22.40%23.75%39.54%95.67% Hendry8.72%14.74%21.13%19.74%35.66%91.28% Lee90.82%7.55%1.45%0.14%0.04%9.18% Martin32.32%32.61%22.24%8.73%4.10%67.68% Miami-Dade1.78%5.87%14.47%36.28%41.60%98.22% Monroe96.95%2.56%0.46%0.03%0.01%3.05% Okeechobee16.45%17.24%22.58%16.82%26.90%83.55% Palm Beach0.30%2.46%9.57%33.47%54.20%99.70% Total18.72%4.91%9.81%27.88%38.68%81.28% Percent of Building Stock by Wind Damage Category

7. Consequence Projections Number of Buildings by Wind Damage Category County Number of Structures in County Total Structures Affected Number of Structures with No Damage Number of Structures with Minor Damage Number of Structures with Moderate Damage Number of Structures with Severe Damage Number of Structures Destroyed Broward464,079463,7113686,33039,702167,294250,384 Collier92,9354,68688,2493,5959689529 Glades5,2795,0512285271,1821,2542,087 Hendry11,59910,5881,0111,7102,4512,2904,137 Lee193,97917,802176,17714,6522,81326571 Martin53,27436,05517,21917,37311,8474,6512,183 Miami-Dade531,131521,6679,46431,18876,840192,677220,962 Monroe43,3661,32442,0421,109200123 Okeechobee14,52612,1362,3902,5053,2802,4433,908 Palm Beach 397,425396,2271,1989,77638,022133,020215,409 Total1,807,5931,469,245338,34888,766177,305504,002699,173

8. Local Planning – Technical Assistance Tribal Plans Tribal CEMP  2 member FEMA team  1 Technical Lead  7 member Florida team 3 working w/Tallahassee 4 assigned to South Florida

9. Scenario-Driven Planning Workshops  sets the “catastrophic bar”  All levels of government contribute to the planning

10. Comprehensive – Cohesive Planning, Complimenting Concurrent Efforts Regional Evacuation Studies Statewide Shelter Study Regional/State Annexes (Dike, Catastrophic, Pandemic...) County Annexes (Dike, Catastrophic, Pandemic...)

11. Decision Matrices & Resource Shortfalls

12.  Assess required scenario–based capabilities  Develop scalable and adaptable methods  Determine available resources & shortfalls  Establish protocols & policies  Integrate with other scenario-based plans  Sustain the planning process

13. The Word Problem  SF impacted by a Category 5 Hurricane making landfall 35mi N of Miami producing upwards of 22” of rainfall in and north of Lake Okeechobee. Winds and surge damage or destroy nearly 700,000 structures. Note: this doesn’t include the Counties to the North West of Lake Okeechobee where the storm exits FL as a Category 2.  Winds from the storm leave large amounts of debris in canals used by SFWMD to control water movement in South Florida making it difficult to impossible to reduce flood waters impacting the environment, economy, citizens and visitors. Flood waters are expected to remain for as many as 22 days – or more

14. Key Assumptions  Estimated Population – 6,358,934  2,867,295 people are projected to evacuate in advance of the storm  796,214 people are expected to seek public shelter (10’s of miles)  3,826,822 homes will be destroyed  Up to 3,000,000 customers will be w/o power from Miami-Dade to Indian River on the East and Manatee/Sarasota on the West

15. Pick ONE – Break It Down  Pick ONE decision point and break it down Clearly identify the GOAL Identify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed on which to base a decision Document what you know from past experience Calculate/Adjust/Recalculate/Cross Check Repeat as necessary Up Next - Rand Napoli, Lead Planner

16. Pick ONE – Break It Down  Pick ONE decision point and break it down Clearly identify the GOAL Complete Primary Search & Rescue in 24 Hrs Identify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed on which to base a decision # Strike Teams # of hours/day – operational period # of structures damaged or destroyed

17. Pick ONE – Break It Down Document what you know from past experience Can’t safely search at night How many workers to safely search a structure How much time to safely search a structure Deployment time – (notification to operational) Calculate/Adjust/Recalculate/Cross Check Repeat as necessary Don’t forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff, mutual aid assets, volunteers

18. Example – Search and Rescue Structures per Strike Teams per Op Period500CountyStructures Strike Teams Personn el Hours per Day12Miami-Dade352,33294018,800 Structures per Strike Team per Day500Broward335,25289517,900 Palm Beach293,88178415,680 Hours Allowed24Martin8,36823460 Deployment Time6Okeechobee6,18517340 Hours Available18Hendry5,91616320 Glades3,1349180 Lee408240 Monroe50120 7.2Total1,005,5262,68753,740

19. Example – Search and Rescue Structures per Strike Teams per Op Period500 CountyStructuresStrike TeamsPersonnel Hours per Day12Miami-Dade352,3322575,140 Structures per Strike Team per Day500Broward335,2522444,880 Palm Beach293,8812144,280 Hours Allowed72Martin8,3687140 Deployment Time6Okeechobee6,1855100 Hours Available66Hendry5,9165100 Glades3,134360 Lee408120 Monroe50120 7.2Total1,005,52673714,740

20. Pick ONE – Break It Down  Pick ONE decision point and break it down Clearly identify the GOAL Provide 3 Hot Meals/day for survivors in impacted area Identify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed on which to base a decision How many survivors remained in the area –Approximately 4.3 Million Quantity of food/meal How many staff required to prepare/deliver

21. Pick ONE – Break It Down Document what you know from past experience Operational Period Deployment time – (notification to operational) Staff required to prepare X number meals Adjust/Recalculate/Cross Check/ - Repeat Don’t forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff, mutual aid assets, volunteers

22. Contacts & Information  www.FloridaDisaster.org/CatastrophicPlanning www.FloridaDisaster.org/CatastrophicPlanning  Carla Boyce, Plans Chief 850.410.1268 Carla.Boyce@em.MyFlorida.com  Rand Napoli, Lead Planner – IEM 904.370.0839 Rand.Napoli@IEM.com

23. Be PreparedGet-A-Plan