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Published byMerryl Gardner Modified over 9 years ago
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Market Update Gathering of Eagles Billionaires Meeting May 2011
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Market Update REAL Trends Housing Market Forecast
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Market Update The 5% Rule Going Forward To “burn off” the ‘99-’07 overage and get back onto the 5% trendline will require no more than 3-4% sides growth until 2016 To “burn off” the ‘99-’07 overage and get back onto the 5% trendline will require no more than 3-4% sides growth until 2016 2005 peak is not supposed to trend again until 2030 2005 peak is not supposed to trend again until 2030
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Market Update Potential Race and Age Challenges Well over half of all new household formations over the next decade are expected to come from the non-White population Well over half of all new household formations over the next decade are expected to come from the non-White population Yet the REALTOR® membership today remains 87% White with little change in trends Yet the REALTOR® membership today remains 87% White with little change in trends
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Market Update Age Issues (2010 NAR Member Profile) REALTOR® Median age: 54 (and increasing) REALTOR® Median age: 54 (and increasing) US Population Median age: 37 US Population Median age: 37 Percent of REALTORS® under 40 years-old: 15% (and dropping) Percent of REALTORS® under 40 years-old: 15% (and dropping) Percent of US Population between 20 and 40 years-old: 34% Percent of US Population between 20 and 40 years-old: 34%
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Market Update
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Put Another Way…
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Market Update Dropping Homeownership Rate U.S. Homeownership rate peaked at about 69- 70% in 2007 U.S. Homeownership rate peaked at about 69- 70% in 2007 It is currently at about 67% It is currently at about 67% Most economists are forecasting this to drop to between 63% and 65% within five years Most economists are forecasting this to drop to between 63% and 65% within five years Wide implications to brokerage industry Wide implications to brokerage industry
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Market Update Possible Solutions?
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Thank You Gathering of Eagles Billionaires Meeting May 2011
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