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Does sustainability fit well with Crisis? Thierry Delvaux Managing Director Hungary & Romania October 14, 2008 Subprime
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2 Impact of the crisis on investments in CEE countries Investment volume 2006 - Q3 2008 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 2008 € million
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3 Investment volume in the CEE region -53% Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 2008
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4 m2m2 Still robust office leasing market in Budapest
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5 Impact of the crisis on developers and investors Cost of financing (above interest rate) Margins in 2007Margins till summer 2008 German Open Ended Funds 30-60 bps 100 bps International Investors 80-110 bps 150 bps Hungarian Banks 150 bps 200-220 bps + or no availability Margins today Banks may terminate their signed financing contracts No interbank lending LTY 75-80% 65-70%
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6 Demand for real estate products No balance of demand and supply In the last years demand was high and supply was low Subprime crisis Today: low demand and high supply High prices and low yields Lower prices and higher yields
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7 Yield Q 3 08 (vs. Q 2 07) in % OfficePrimarySecondary Czech Republic6.00 (5.25)7.00 (6.00) Hungary6.25 (5.75)7.50 (7.00) Poland6.00 (5.50)7.00 (6.00) Retail Czech Republic6.00 (5.50)7.00 (7.00) Hungary6.00 (5.75)7.25 (7.25) Poland5.50 (5.50)7.00 (7.00) Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 2008 Yields are moving upwards across CEE
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8 Will rents go up?
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9 Sustainable Real Estate Back to basics: Real Estate vs operating income Green features: not a premium but a must Multinational firms relocating to the CEE have „green” requirements but do not pay more for it
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10 What makes a building „green”? Geothermal heat pump system Solar collectors BMS (Building Management System) Storm water collection Ice chillers Installations of low-energy systems „Green” construction Daylight and views of 90% of the space Green roof Re-use of materials (Waste construction materials) Selective waste collection Preference for local products Bicycle storage Tram or metro access LEED or BREEAM international labeling
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11 Investment volume is down Robust take-up on the leasing market Increased cost of finance – increased yields Sustainability is a must
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Thank you ! COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2008
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