1. Five ecologically distinct functional groups Three trophic levels

2. Continuous Plankton Recorder

4. http://www.sahfos.ac.uk/

5. A diatom, showing the typical results for diatoms and copepods A dinoflagellate, showing the typical results for dinoflagellates and zooplankton

6. Marine food-web succession: copepods and diatoms first, followed by primary and secondary consumers

7. Little shift in mean seasonal peak – peak during turnover in water column responding to photoperiod cues

8. Advance in mean seasonal peak – peak after turnover in water column responding to temperature cues

9. Peak abundance is: Earlier Later

10. Units of Y-axis are months

11. Producers Consumers

13. Climate Envelope Modelling Approach: 1.Observed effects on (distribution, abundance) and growth of temperature and dissolved O2 2. Projected changes in temperature and dissolved O2 under SRES A2 Scenario.

15. Cod Haddock

20. Chinook and RBT: 24 C thermal tolerance Bull trout: 14.4 C thermal tolerance -95 th percentile of frequency distribution -on a weekly scale John Day River system Hobo temperature loggers

21. Max stream temperature = fn (max air temp + solar radiation)

22. AIR TEMPERATURE PROJECTIONS A1B emissions scenario

23. (a)Historic (1993-2009) (b)Projection (2070-2099) Chinook and RBT: 24 C thermal tolerance Bull trout: 14.4 C thermal tolerance

25. MS – main stems TRB – tributaries ALL - combined L – loss by reach length V- loss by reach volume 2070 -2099 vs 1993 - 2009