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Probability and Sample Space
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Probability Probability is the chance that something has of occurring.
Probability exists on a continuum… …just like black and white Shades of gray! What lies in the middle?
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Probability Probability is exactly like that:
Probability is expressed as a fraction, and can be anything from P = 0 to P = 1 In between a probability of 0 and a probability of 1, there are an infinite number of probabilities that are possible P = 0 P = 1
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Probability P = 0 P = 1 Impossible Event Certain Event In general, events are given a likelihood of happening, based on their probability A probability of 0 means that there is no way the event will occur, or it is impossible A probability of 1 means that the event will always happen, or it is certain
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Probability P = 0 P = 1 P = Impossible Event Certain Event A probability of means that the event is equally likely and unlikely, like a coin being flipped and landing on heads A probability of means that it is unlikely to occur A probability of means that it is likely to occur
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Probability What is an event that is impossible?
Choosing an E out of the letters in the word BOOKBAG Picking a red tile out of a bag containing only blue and green tiles
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Probability What is an event that is certain?
Choosing a boy or a girl out of the kids in my fifth period class Choosing a B, O, or K out of the letters in the word BOOK Picking a red tile out of a bag containing only red tiles
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Probability Outcome: A possible result to an event/trial Event:
A collection of outcomes Favorable Outcome: The outcome you want to have Unfavorable Outcome: Any outcome you do not want to have
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Probability Finding probability: p = Remember:
favorable outcomes are the things you want to happen total outcomes are all the possibilities that could happen Number of favorable outcomes Total number of outcomes
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Probability Find the probability of rolling a number cube, and getting a 3 P =
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Probability Find the probability of rolling a number cube, and getting an odd # P =
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Probability Use the pictures below to answer the following: What is the probability of choosing a quarter with a person on it? What is the probability of choosing a quarter with the outline of a state on it? What is the probability of choosing a quarter with a horse? With no horse?
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Sample Spaces
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Sample Space A Sample Space is a list of all the possible ways an event(s) can occur. Imagine that you are going to Brusters to get an ice cream cone. Brusters offers three types of cones: Waffle, Sugar, and Cake (plain) They offer three basic flavors of ice cream: Chocolate, Vanilla, and Strawberry
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Sample Space Ice Cream Cones
Let’s make a sample space table: Waffle (W) Sugar (S) Cake (C) Choc. (c) Wc Sc Cc Van (v) Wv Sv Cv Straw (s) Ws Ss Cs
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Sample Space Flipping a Coin Twice
Heads (H) Tails (T) Heads (h) Hh Th Tails (t) Ht Tt
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