1. CARBOOCEAN WP14 – D 14.4 Damian Panasiuk, NILU Polska Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 CARBOOCEAN 2nd Annual meeting, Gran Canaria, 4-8 December 2006

2. Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 Groups of scenarios: 4 baseline scenarios (without climate policies) 5 Policy Targets (POT) scenarios 1 green scenario (EEA Low Greenhouse gas Emission Pathway with renewables targets) Data sources: CAFE scenarios (with and without climate policies, trends), National Technical University of Athens, CAFE/PRIMES model (with and without further climate measures), IIASA, EEA Climate changes scenarios data (5 scenarios),

6. Estimations: for Europe-30 (European Union-25 + Norway, Switzerland, Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey), for whole Europe and Russian Federation based on: trends from EU-15 used for Norway, Switzerland, Iceland and Liechtenstein, trends from new 10 Member States used for Bulgaria, Romania and remaining countries

8. baseline scenarios Policy Targets scenarios green scenario

9. Scenarios of CH 4 emission in Europe to 2030 - I version Groups of scenarios: baseline scenario (without climate measures) Policy Targets scenarios (with existing measures) green scenarios (with additional measures) Data sources: EEA Climate changes scenarios data, EEA report 2006 „Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe”, EEA report 2003 „Greenhouse gas emission projections for Europe”,

12. CARBOOCEAN WP14 – D 14.4 Damian Panasiuk, NILU Polska Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 CARBOOCEAN 2nd Annual meeting, Gran Canaria, 4-8 December 2006