1. November 15, 2012 Stanford University Adele M. Hayutin, Ph.D. Director, Demographic Analysis Stanford Center on Longevity © 2012 Stanford Center on Longevity State of the West Symposium, 2012 California’s Demographic Drivers and Our Ability to Compete

2. Global Perspective: California’s growing workforce offers a competitive advantage 1 Working-Age Population, 2010=1.0 India Mexico California US China So. Korea Japan Data sources: CA Dept. of Finance, 2012; UN, 2011

3. 2 Hispanic population continues sharp rise, white population declines 2 Total Pop 2040 48 million Total Chg 2010-40 11.0 million +8.0 -1.2 +3.7 +0.5 Data sources: CA Dept. of Finance; Pitkin & Myers, 2012

4. 3 Hispanic population fuels work force growth 100+ 50-54 0-4 Million 15.02.24.814.0 % of Total 40%6%13%38% Population by sex and age, 2010

5. 4 44% of Hispanic adults have not completed high school 4 Educational attainment of adults age 25+, 2010

6. 5 Hispanic population fuels work force growth 100+ 50-54 0-4 Million 15.02.24.814.0 % of Total 40%6%13%38% Population by sex and age, 2010

7. 6 Half the population gain will occur in older age brackets Population Change, 2010-40 Data source: Pitkin & Myers, 2012 Millions +0.3+5.1+5.6 +11.0 < 2525-6465+ Total Age

8. Immigrant share of growth will decline to 24% 7 Components of population growth 4.2 3.5 3.9 Total gain 2010-40 +11.0 million Native Born +8.2 Foreign Born +2.8 Data source: Pitkin & Myers, 2012 Millions

9. Competition for immigrants is increasing 8

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