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Decision Theory. 1.Riskiness measures and gambling wealth  Riskiness measures – the idea and description Aumann, Serrano (2008) – economic index of riskiness.

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Presentation on theme: "Decision Theory. 1.Riskiness measures and gambling wealth  Riskiness measures – the idea and description Aumann, Serrano (2008) – economic index of riskiness."— Presentation transcript:

1 Decision Theory

2 1.Riskiness measures and gambling wealth  Riskiness measures – the idea and description Aumann, Serrano (2008) – economic index of riskiness Foster, Hart (2009) – operational measure of riskiness  Buying and selling price for a lottery and the connection to riskiness measures Lewandowski (2010)  Two problems resolved by gambling wealth a)Rabin (2000) paradox b)Buying/selling price gap (WTA/WTP disparity)

3 Buying and selling price correspond to WTP and WTA notions respectively – mind WTA/WTP disparity

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14 1.Riskiness measures and gambling wealth  Riskiness measures – the idea and description Aumann, Serrano (2008) – economic index of riskiness Foster, Hart (2009) – operational measure of riskiness  Buying and selling price for a lottery and the connection to riskiness measures Lewandowski (2010)  Two problems resolved by gambling wealth a)Rabin (2000) paradox b)Buying/selling price gap (WTA/WTP disparity)

15 Two fallacies

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18 Departing from consequentialism

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22 Again – departing from consequentialism

23 Large buying/selling price spreads for small W


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