Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byArlene Nash Modified over 9 years ago
1
SAN DIEGO RevPar: Past, Present & Future 24 May 2010 Bobby Bowers Smith Travel Research / STR Global
2
bobby@str.com www.strglobal.com 615.824.8664 x3321 Want a copy of the presentation? Have questions about the presentation?
3
Total United States Key Performance Indicators Percent Change April 2010 – Trailing 12 Months & Year-to-Date
4
Total United States Room Supply/Demand Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average – 1989 to April 2010 2008 Smith Travel Research, Inc. 2.9% -1.7% -1.1% - 4.8% - 6.9%
5
Total United States Occupancy/ADR Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average – 1989 to April 2010 -3.4% -6.8% -4.5% -7.4% -4.7% 0.1% -9.6%
6
Total United States RevPAR Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average – 1989 to April 2010 2008 Smith Travel Research, Inc. -10.5% - 11.5% -16.8%
7
Top 25 Markets versus rest of U.S. Key Performance Indicators Percent Change April 2010 YTD
8
Chain Scales
9
STR Chain Scales Selected Brands by Category Luxury – Four Seasons, Ritz Carlton, Fairmont Upper Upscale – Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt, Sheraton Upscale – Cambria, Courtyard, Hilton Garden Inn Midscale with F&B – Ramada, Holiday Inn, Best Western Midscale no F&B – Comfort Inn, Fairfield Inn, H.I. Express Economy – Econolodge, Days Inn, Red Roof
10
Chain Scales Supply/Demand Percent Change April 2010 YTD
11
Chain Scales Occupancy/ADR Percent Change April 2010 YTD
12
San Diego
13
San Diego Key Market Facts 464 hotels / 58k rooms 310 rooms under construction - 0.5% $1.6 billion annual room revenue 41% room revenue - Downtown 41% room revenue – Luxury / Upper Up 2009 ADR fell 20.2% - # 6 among top 25
14
San Diego Key Performance Indicators Percent Change April 2010 – Trailing 12 Months & Year-to-Date
15
San Diego Weekday / Weekend Percent Change April 2010 YTD Weekends = Friday / Saturday
16
San Diego – Luxury, Upper Upscale, Upper Tier Independents Transient / Group - Percent Change April 2010 YTD
17
San Diego Key Indicators - Percent Change May 1 – 15, 2010
18
San Diego Room Supply/Demand Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average – January 2000 to April 2010 2008 Smith Travel Research, Inc. 2.8% -0.3% -7.8% -8.4%
19
San Diego Occupancy/ADR Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average – January 2000 to April 2010 -8.2% -3.0% -11.9% -3.7% -11.4%
20
San Diego RevPAR Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average – January 2000 to April 2010 2008 Smith Travel Research, Inc. -21.2% - 14.6%
21
San Diego RevPAR - Monthly Percent Change January 2008 – April 2010 2009 2008
22
San Diego Occupancy - Monthly Percent Change January 2008 – April 2010 2009 2008
23
San Diego Average Daily Rate - Monthly Percent Change January 2008 – April 2010 2009 2008
24
Key 15 Markets RevPar Percent Change April 2010 YTD Excludes Las Vegas
25
Key 15 Markets Occupancy Percent Change April 2010 YTD Excludes Las Vegas
26
Key 15 Markets ADR Percent Change April 2010 YTD Excludes Las Vegas
27
San Diego Chain Scales - Revenue Share (%) Twelve Months Ending March 2010 Annual San Diego revenue room = $1.6 billion
28
San Diego - Chain Scales Occupancy/ADR Percent Change 2010 April YTD
30
San Diego Sub Markets - Revenue Share (%) Twelve Months Ending April 2010 Annual San Diego revenue room = $1.6 billion
31
San Diego Sub Markets Occupancy/ADR Percent Change April 2010 YTD
32
San Diego Sub Markets Occupancy Percent April 2010 YTD
33
San Diego – Sub Markets Average Daily Rate April 2010 YTD
34
Projections
35
U.S. Economic Outlook Blue Chip Economic Indicators – May 2010 20092010F2011F Real GDP-2.4%+3.2%+3.1% CPI-0.4%+2.0%+1.9% Corporate Profits -3.8% +19.4% +8.1 % Disp Personal Income+0.9%+1.3%+2.6% Unemployment Rate 9.3% 9.6% 8.9%
36
Total United States Active Development Pipeline - Rooms Change From Prior Year April 2010 April 2009 Change % Chg In Construction 77,404 170,242 -92,838 -54.5% “Planned” Pipeline 289,676 363,326 -73,650 -20.3% Planned Pipeline includes projects in Final Planning and Planning phases Source: STR / TWR / Dodge Construction Pipeline
37
Total United States Key Performance Indicators Percent Change Full Year 2009 Actual & 2010 / 2011 Forecast
38
San Diego, CA Market Supply & Demand Outlook 2008-2010F Annual vs. Prior Year
39
San Diego, CA Market Occupancy, ADR, RevPAR Outlook 2008-2010F Annual vs. Prior Year
40
San Diego ADR Percent Change vs. U.S. Inflation
41
Takeaways Value is King – What’s distinctive about your product? Performance trough likely past Supply growth slowing Demand slowly improving Pricing conditions improving Moderate improvement 2010 Meaningful growth anticipated 2011
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.