1. NPSG Predictive Services Standard Products & GACC Websites Report to NMAC/GMAC 2004 November 30, 2004 Boise, Idaho

2. NPSG National Predictive Services Group (NPSG) Overview of Program Goals

3. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho NPSG Program Goals 1. Develop and implement a user assessment process so that user needs are understood and defined. 2. Identify and implement standardized products and services that satisfy user needs. 3. Determine organization, resource and programmatic requirements. 4. Develop and implement performance standards for products and services.

4. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho NPSG Program Goals 5. Enhance the interaction between the Predictive Services functions. 6. Establish a method for communicating information between Predictive Services internally and externally. 7. Improve the data infrastructure that supports and facilitates the integration of Predictive Services and the Wildland Fire program 8. Implement methods to assess and improve the products and services provided by Predictive Services.

5. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Standardization Issues  Weekly and daily products differ from GACC to GACC Product names, terminology, and display conventions are not consistent  Utilization of outputs Hard to compare outputs from one area to another (within and between GACCs) Decreases usability for decision support  Redundancy Costs us both time and money to develop and maintain non-standard products

6. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Standardization will:  Increase efficiency and usability  Provide products that are consistent and familiar for out-of-area personnel and IMTs  Save money and time…work and improvements can be shared at all GACCs  Lead to better products…better decisions…better SAFETY

7. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Daily Outlook Example Non-standard, but widely used product issued by some GACCs. Only covers day 1 and sometimes day 2.

8. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Weekly Outlooks Weekly outlook issued on Tuesday (updates optional) Discussion… Resources… Currently, one of our standard products DateFire DangerWeather

9. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Weekly Outlook Example Problems: Not all GACCS follow same format. Issued once a week (often not updated). Weather/fire danger changes and product becomes outdated

10. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Problems  Products not consistent with NPSG framework and goals for standardized products  Weekly product becomes outdated  Daily product good but only covers day 1-2  Currently some GACCs only predict fire danger, but all need to forecast “Significant” fire potential  Adherence to standards is lacking

11. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Solutions proposed by NPSG  Utilize input from user assessments to develop and improve standard products  Verify and validate outputs to ensure they are accurate and meaningful  Inform NMAC/GMAC of issues to gain their support  Establish protocols for program direction and accountability

12. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Standard product proposal  Create daily standard product (issued in AM) that covers days 1-7  Eliminate weekly outlook  Utilize tabular and graphical formats  Include weather, fire potential and resources  Implement by June 2006

13. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Large Fire Potential  Currently issued by Northwest and California GACCs

14. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Monday August 1, 2004 Tueday August 2, 2004 Resources:

15. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho GACC Website Issues  No consistent format, look, or feel  Products have different names and are located in different places  Searching for products is confusing and results in wasted time

16. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Web Task Group  Direction from NPSG & Center Managers to create a standard GACC template and centralized server  Jay Ellington (SWCC) web team chair  Completed GACC surveys in 2004  FAMWEB server (available to all GACCs but not required to use). Access to all GACCs at: gacc.nifc.gov

17. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho GACC template www.fs.fed.us/r3/fire/national_web/ 2005 Timeline Jan Distribute implementation guidelines Feb 1 Post national web site May 1 Post GACC sites

18. NPSG November 2004Boise, Idaho Public page: Managed by FIO (Optional) PS: GACC OPERATIONS – Daily, weekly, etc, operation products and links Meat of site! Mgmt: GA F&IM tools, background, links that make programs work… NOT a complete list Related Links: Area: Websites within GA National: National websites

19. NPSG Thank You ? ? ? Questions ? ? ?