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Published byShonda Newton Modified over 9 years ago
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Phil’s Lessons Learned….. Options are the wild west vs stocks - always, always, always use a limit order!!!! Options should be monitored closer than stocks or use/set stops/limits. Options are binary directional – get the direction right (profit) and wrong (loss). An Option contract represents 100sh of an underlying asset – this means leverage!!! Option prices swing quickly and dramatically. - Call Options will typically go up slower and down faster. - The same but opposite for Put Options Most Long Option purchases don’t make money – they should be considered either insurance/protection or lower, fixed cost direction bets (vs stock). Be happy you don’t use your life insurance… Folks rarely wait till expiration – they close out positions before expiration. Higher market Volatility and in particular Implied Volatility vs Historical (Statistical) Volatility in the underlying stock increase Option premium. - Try to buy Options during Lower Volatility (sideways, low volume) market conditions The last month of decay in option value is an exponential killer!!! - Close losing positions well before the last month begins - Provide some time to be right (~90 days/3-4 months out) A good rules of thumb is choose Options about 3-5% of the underlying asset price at 90 days/3-4 months out. Try not to let winners turn into losers – if not certain they will continue be profitable, then close and take the profit. Start thinking about selling when returns top 50%.
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An Example….. Phil thinks in late Dec that early Jan will be volatile and may see a market drop. On Dec 24 he buys 1 insurance/protective SPY (S&P 500 Index) Put 12/24/2014 (SPY is at 208) Strike price 195 selected (about 7% correction) Expiration March 20 (std contract, 3 rd Fri of month, 3 months out) Premium $2.54 ($254) plus contract price $8.25 = $262.25 Premium About 1.2% of SPY at 208 (low market volatility) On 1/6/2015 Phil sold to close Net proceeds = $502.73 (92% profit in 2 wks) With close to a double, I chose to lock in the profit During this time the overall portfolio still net lost (I have several hundred shares overall – net long), but less due to the protective put. The Put helped!
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Another Example….. Phil now thinks in early Jan that there will be a 1-2 day pop and then more down, he thinks Jan will be volatile and may see a market drop On Jan 8 he buys 1 portfolio protective SPY (S&P 500 Index) Put 1/8/2015 (SPY is at 204) Strike price 195 selected (about 5% correction target) Expiration March 20 (std contract, 3 rd Fri of month, 2.5 months out) Premium $3.90 ($390) plus contract price $ 8.25 = $398.25 Premium About 2% of SPY at 204 (moderate market volatility) As of Jan 12 the Put is still open/on The Premium/price is now $3.59 (a loss of $39.25, 10%) During this time the overall market is up to sideways The portfolio has made $ overall (I have several hundred shares overall – net long), but less due to the protective put loss. Should have waited till later to buy that Put…
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Another Example….. Phil thinks that ONNN has behaved very well over the last month – in good and bad market conditions. He’s still concerned that ONN is at it’s recent high. Micron, another major semi also recently 2 nd Q warned. So, he will make a Bullish bet with Call Options vs stock. On Jan 12 he buys 2 ONNN Call Options 1/12/2015 (ONNN is at 10.4) (200sh - $2,080) Strike price 11 (about 6% + move) Expiration Apr 17 (std contract, 3 rd Fri of month, 3 months out) Premium $0.55 ($110) plus 2 contracts price $9.25 = $119.25 Premium About 5.7% (on the expensive side) Unlimited upside, downside risk capped at $119.25 If I’m wrong & ON drops by $0.6 or more the Option trade loses less Could have also reduced my cost and capped my earnings by selling another higher strike call (a Bull Call spread) – but that is advanced Options trading. Lets keep it simple and see how this trade goes….
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