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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Maximizing the 3G Market: Perspectives on Spectrum Administration and Evolution to 3G William Bold QUALCOMM Incorporated > > 4 - 2 9 - 0 0> E N A B L E D B Y C D M AC D G - B A N G K O K
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 > Main Points 1. Market for data will emerge, but When? How? Where? - Evolution of existing networks minimizes risk 2. Voice + High Data Rates = CDMA - CDMA 3G coming very soon with 1X MC 3. Policies should support evolution & 3G in multiple bands - Maximize competition & spectral efficiency
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 > QCOM Digital Media & Government Wireless Systems CDMA Technologies Technology Licensing New Product Development QUALCOMM leverages its leadership position in CDMA technology in each of its businesses
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Internet Access Device Migration Source: IDC, Dataquest, Sonera, Qualcomm > 1998 2000
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Source: Dataquest, "Changing Traffic Patterns: Data vs. Voice" May 24, 1999 In 2000, wireline data traffic begins to exceed voice. Is there a Data Market? >
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Source: Prudential Volpe CDMA Will Dominate Well Into the 21st Century 1999 2005 > 1.8 Billion Subscribers 465 Million Subscribers Digital Standards Market Share 1999-2005
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 8990939596979899 * According to CDG CDMA Cellular Concept CDMA Cellular Concept OmniTRACS goes international San Diego CDMA demonstration Nov. 89 OmniTRACS goes international San Diego CDMA demonstration Nov. 89 CDMA IS-95 standard issued Korea selects CDMA CDMA IS-95 standard issued Korea selects CDMA Commercial CDMA launched in So. Korea PCS PrimeCo turns up nation- wide PCS service in 14 cities Commercial CDMA launched in So. Korea PCS PrimeCo turns up nation- wide PCS service in 14 cities Commercial systems in 100 U.S. cities Japan selects CDMA Commercial systems in 100 U.S. cities Japan selects CDMA 50 million subscribers 83 operators, 35 nations* More than 75 companies licensed to build and sell IS-95 products 50 million subscribers 83 operators, 35 nations* More than 75 companies licensed to build and sell IS-95 products U.S. PCS standard issued First commercial CDMA system in Hong Kong using QUALCOMM phones U.S. PCS standard issued First commercial CDMA system in Hong Kong using QUALCOMM phones CDMA subscribers reach over 12.5 million in 30 countries on 5 continents* CDMA subscribers reach over 12.5 million in 30 countries on 5 continents* CDMA: A Decade of Success Sprint PCS selects CDMA for nationwide network Sprint PCS selects CDMA for nationwide network 94 >
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Source: CDMA Development Group Over 50 million Subscribers As of Dec. 1999 Note: prior to March 1998 the Caribbean and Mexico are included in North America; after March 1998 they are included in Caribbean & Latin America > CDMA Subscriber Growth History: March 1998 through December 1999
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 IMT-2000 Standards Compendium 1X3X FDD Direct Spread FDD Multi-carrier TDD Mode TDMA Single Carrier TDMA Multi Carrier CDMA 1.9 IS-136 1.9 GSM 1.8 Migration to IMT- 2000 in Existing Spectrum Stranded at 2 or 2.5G w/o CDMA overlay
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 MSM Roadmap MSM3000 - Low power - ARM7 uP - 76 / 86 kbps fwd MSM3100 - Mixed Signal Chip - Int Tx I,Q DACs - Int Voice Codec - Int USB data MSM2300 - 186 uP MSM2310 - Int EVRC, RAM MSM3300 - Int Pos Loc - Int Bluetooth - MP3, MIDI Ringer, MMC Q3’97 Q1’98 Q3’98 Q3’99 Q1’00 Q4’00 Q2’01 Engineering Sample Dates iMSM4100 - SmartPhone Chip - Dual CPU - 3 rd Party OS ….Core Product Line ….New Applications ….New Standards iMSM4000 - Integrated Memory iMSM4000 - Integrated Memory iMSM4500 - HDR Trial Chip MSM5000 - IMT-2000 1XMC - 153 kbps - Up to 2X Voice Cap. IMT-2000 Multi-mode iMSM5500 - HDR - IMT-2000 1xMC +IS-95A/B CDMA/GSM Multi-mode MSM5200 - IMT-2000 DS 3rd Gen4th Gen5th Gen 6th Gen >
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 CSM Roadmap Multi-chip solution - CSM Modulation - CSM Demod - Viterbi Decoder 1991 1994 1997 1998 Q1 ‘00 Engineering Sample Dates CSM2000 - 8 Channel - IS95A/B - CSM1.5 Compatible CSM 1.0 - IS95A/B - Integrated Solution - Adds 14.4 kbps - Improved Rcvr CSM 1.5 Size, Cost and - Power Reduction CSM5000 - IMT-2000 1xMC - 307.2 kbps - 30+ Users >
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 World’s first solution for 3G CDMA 1x Multi-Carrier products MSM5000™ Data rates of 153.6 kbps on both the forward and reverse links Increase in handset standby time of up to 50% Doubling of overall capacity of voice users Pin-compatible with MSM3000 Development near completion and now sampled to customers CSM5000™ Data rates of 307.2 kbps on both the forward and reverse links Supports up to 32 simultaneous users on a single chip, a four-fold increase over the previous generation CSM Doubling of overall capacity of voice users 3G: MSM5000 and CSM5000 >
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 20002001200220032004 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4 Wide Area Wireless Data - Peak Data Rates IS-95B cdma2000 1XRTT GSM GPRS Technologies EDGE - Classic Limited Deployment General Deployment 19.2 Rx/9.6 Tx 38.4 Rx/9.6 Tx 57.6 Kbps EDGE - Compact 153 kbps (1X RTT) 307 kbps (1X RTT) 90 kbps120 kbps 157 kbps250 kbps 86 kbps (IS-95B) WIRELESS DATA ROADMAP Source: Seybold Group, Qualcomm >
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 IMT-2000 Spectrum Allocations - No “Global Band” 18501900195020002050210021502200 18501900195020002050210021502200 Europe Japan The Americas IMT2000 GSM 1800 DECT MSS 1880 MHz1980 MHz MSS IMT2000 PHS IMT-2000 MSS Reserved MSS IMT 2000 2160 MHz 1893.5 MHz 1919.6 MHz 2170 MHz 1920 MHz IMT2000 Korea IMT- 2000 IMT2000 Legend: Supports IMT-2000
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Technology Decisions Still Pending @ IMT-2000 1850190019502000205021002150 Europe Japan The Americas IMT2000 GSM 1800 DECT MSS 1880 MHz1980 MHz MSS IMT2000 PHS IMT-2000 MSS Reserved MSS IMT 2000 2160 MHz 1893.5 MHz 1919.6 MHz 2170 MHz 1920 MHz IMT2000 Legacy spectrum; eventually re- farmed per CEPT GSM, 1x/3x MC or European DS- CDMA, EDGE???? 1x/3x MC, EDGE?Japanese DS, 1x/3x MC
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 ITU Explicitly Supports In-Band Evolution from PCS to IMT-2000 S5.388The bands 1885-2025 MHz and 2110-2200 MHz are intended for use, on a worldwide basis, by administrations wishing to implement International Mobile Telecommunications-2000 (IMT2000). Such use does not preclude the use of these bands by other services to which they are allocated. The bands should be made available for IMT-2000 in accordance with Resolution 212 (Rev. WRC-97). WARC 92 has earmarked the spectrum for IMT-2000
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 Identification of Additional Spectrum for IMT-2000 Bands identified for terrestrial component of advanced communications applications by region: APT CEPT CITEL United States APT CEPT CITEL United States 806-960 862-960* 1710-1885 698 - 960 1710-1885 1710-1885* 1710 - 1885 2520-2670 2520-2670 2520 - 2670 2700-2900** * for longer-term ** for study for future identification
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 3G From Different Paths 450 MHz NMT analog spectrum that is being digitized Allocations less than 5 MHz - only 1X/3X MC can be used 800 MHz 1X MC will be trialed and deployed (Bell Atlantic, Telstra, etc) 1800 MHz CDMA 1X MC overlays in existing GSM spectrum 1900 MHz CDMA networks migrate to 1X/3X (WorldCom, others) 2 GHz - ITU spectrum Greenfield spectrum Carriers will choose from: DS, 1X/3X MC, EDGE
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 GSM 900 (~70 MHz) CDMA 800 (~70 MHz) GSM 1800 (~150 MHz) CDMA 1900 (~120 MHz) DS-CDMA 2 GHz (155 MHz) DCS/UMTSPCS Extension Bands (~160 MHz) Systems rolled out 2003-4 1.8 available in EU 2010? ~315 MHz ~350 MHz Migration to 2.5G Only w/o CDMA overlay Available for 3G in Near Term!! CDMA, PCS Maximize 3G Spectrum - Technology Matters
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 GSM 900 (~70 MHz) GSM 1800 (~150 MHz) DS-CDMA 2 GHz (155 MHz) Maximizing 3G Spectrum & Competition in DCS/UMTS Markets Extension Bands (~160 MHz) NMT 450 (~5 MHz) 1X MC 450 1X MC 900 Different Allocations 2x5 MHz 2x15 MHz 2x10 MHz Different Allocations 2x5 MHz 2x15 MHz 2x10 MHz
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 CDMA 450 Opportunity > Existing analog-only (NMT 450) operators losing business to GSM Approximately 1.8 million NMT subscribers active CDMA 450 could turn presently underutilized and undervalued spectrum into cost-effective competition for GSM CDMA provides a seamless path to 1x and 3x Milestone Events: 10/99 450 MOU adopts CDMA 09/00 CDMA 450 demonstration planned
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 AMPS Overlay Strategy Existing Cellular or PCS Spectrum - 10 MHz allocation AMPS Network
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 AMPS F1 F2 cdmaOne Overlay Strategy Clear Spectrum for cdmaOne cdmaOne Overlay
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 3G-CDMA 1X AMPS F1 F2 cdmaOne 2001 Upgrade Overlay Strategy Clear Spectrum for 3G-CDMA 1X
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 CDMA 1X AMPS F1 F2 F3 cdmaOne CDMA 3X Overlay Strategy Clear 3 cdmaOne channels to make room for 3X 2003 Upgrade Note - handsets will support backward- compatible voice roaming using AMPS, cdmaOne channels
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> E N A B L E D B Y C D M A > C D G - B A N G K O K> 4 - 2 9 - 0 0 CDMA CDMA 1X AMPS cdmaOne CDMA 3X Overlay Strategy Flexible Network Evolution CDMA 1X
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