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Sampling Distributions

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1 Sampling Distributions
Section 9.1.1 Lesson 9.1.1

2 Starter 9.1.1 Write a paragraph that explains the differences between 3 types of random samples: Simple Random Sample Systematic Random Sample Stratified Random Sample

3 Today’s Objectives Students should be able to describe the difference between a parameter and a statistic. Students should be able to define a sample mean and a sample proportion. Students should be able to define and describe a sampling distribution. California Standard 15.0 Students are familiar with the notions of a statistic of a distribution of values, of the sampling distribution of a statistic, and of the variability of a statistic.

4 Parameters and Statistics
A parameter is the value of a variable that describes some characteristic of interest about a population. The basic objective in data analysis is to estimate a population parameter. Numeric variable: find mean μ and std dev σ Categorical variable: find proportion p A statistic is the value of a variable that describes some characteristic of interest about a sample drawn from a population. The technique of estimation is to study a random sample of the population to get a statistic. Numeric variable: mean and std dev s Categorical variable: proportion

5 Example In the presidential election of 2000 in Florida, the Gore-Bush results were so evenly divided that we could have just flipped coins. Let’s try to estimate the true proportion of Florida voters who supported Bush by simulating a random sample of 20 voters. The result will be a sample statistic We will then combine results to get a sampling distribution.

6 Activity Toss a coin 20 times and record the proportion of heads obtained. This is a sample proportion If we had used a numeric variable (like: the number of coins in each students‘ pockets) it would be a sample mean Simulate another 9 trials on the calculator and write the 9 proportions on paper. randBin(20,.5,9)/20 is a quick way to do it Post your results as a dotplot on the board with other students’ results. Note that results differed: this is sampling variability The dot plot created shows a sampling distribution Sketch and describe the class distribution on paper.

7 Four Questions: What is the difference between a parameter and a statistic? A parameter is the value (usually unknown) of a variable of interest for a population. A statistic is the measured value (and therefore known) of that variable for a sample drawn from the population. What is a sample proportion? A sample proportion is the calculated proportion of a categorical variable from one sample of a population. What is a sample mean? A sample mean is the calculated mean of a numeric variable from one sample of a population. What is a sampling distribution? A sampling distribution shows the distribution of many sample statistics (p-hat or x-bar) taken from a population. In theory, it is the distribution of all possible samples that could be taken Like any distribution, it has a center, shape and spread.

8 Today’s Objectives Students should be able to describe the difference between a parameter and a statistic. Students should be able to define a sample mean and a sample proportion. Students should be able to define and describe a sampling distribution. California Standard 15.0 Students are familiar with the notions of a statistic of a distribution of values, of the sampling distribution of a statistic, and of the variability of a statistic.

9 Homework Read pages 454 – 459 Do problems 1 – 4, 6


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