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CHAPTER 7 DAY 1
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Warm – Up (Density Curves Review) Consider the density curve that consists of two line segments. The first segment starts at the point (0,2) and ends at the point (0.4,1). The second segments begin at (0.4,1) and ends at (0.8,1). 1. Verify that this is a valid density curve. 2. Use the area under the density curve to find the proportions of observations within the given intervals. A. P(0.6 < X < 0.8) B. P(0 < X < 0.4) C. P(0 ≤ X ≤ 0.2) D. P(X = 0.5)
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Continuous vs. Discrete Continuous is measured, infinite Discrete is counted, finite
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Continuous vs. Discrete Gliding down a slide Pouring water Length of a rope Age of students Seasonal rainfall Distance of a race Time playing a CD Segment on a graph Climbing up stairs Stacking ice cubes Number of knots Number of your birthday Rainy days Number of participants Points on a graph
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Random Variable A random variable is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon.
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Discrete Random Variable A discrete random variable X has a countable number of possible values. The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X lists the values and their probabilities. Value of Xx1x1 x2x2 x3x3 …xixi Probabilityp1p1 p2p2 p3p3 …pipi
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Discrete Random Variable Cont… The probability p must satisfy two requirements: 1. Every probability p i is a number between 0 and 1. 2. The sum of the probabilities is 1. Find the probability of an event by adding the probabilities p i of the particular values x i that make up that event.
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Example #2 from Homework A couple plans to have three children. There are 8 possible arrangements of girls or boys. For example GGB means the first two children are girls and the third is a boy. All 8 arrangements are equally likely. A. Write down all 8 arrangements. What is the probability of any one of these arrangements? Let X be the number of girls the couple has. What is the probability that X = 2? Starting from your work in A, find the distribution of X. That is, what values can X take, and what are the probabilities for each value. (make a table and histogram)
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Example #6 from Homework Choose an American household at random and let the random variable X be the number of persons living in the household. If we ignore the few houses with more than 7 inhabitants, the probability distribution of X is as follows. Inhabitants1234567 Probability.25.32.17.15.07.03.01
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Verify that this is a legitimate discrete probability distribution and draw a probability histogram to display it. What is P(X ≥ 5)? What is P(X > 5)? What is P(2 < X < 4)? What is P(X ≠ 1)? Write the event that a randomly chosen household contains more than two persons in terms of the random variable X. What is the probability of this event?
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