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Template Williston Basin Oil and Gas Emission Inventory: Midterm Year Activity Forecasts ENVIRON International Corporation April 16, 2013.

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Presentation on theme: "Template Williston Basin Oil and Gas Emission Inventory: Midterm Year Activity Forecasts ENVIRON International Corporation April 16, 2013."— Presentation transcript:

1 Template Williston Basin Oil and Gas Emission Inventory: Midterm Year Activity Forecasts ENVIRON International Corporation April 16, 2013

2 Outline Activity forecasting method Activity forecasts by basin subareas Oil and gas takeaway infrastructure

3 Forecasting Method: Overview Primary Data Sources: –IHS Oil and Gas Database (historical data) –Operator input (drilling forecasts, well decline) Secondary sources for validation –2012 Bentek Study (gas and oil production)

4 Forecasting Method: Basin Subareas

5 Forecasting Method: Flow Chart Future Years Drilling Schedule (2012 – 2015) Midterm Year Production from Wells Added After Base Year 2011 Midterm Year Production from Wells in Operation in Base Year 2011 and Earlier 2011 Production (source: IHS database) Well Decline Curve Midterm Year Production from All Wells

6 Sample Oil Well Decline Curve Source: Williston Basin: Greasing the Gears for Growth in North Dakota. NDPA/NDIC Study. BENTEK Energy. http://ndpipelines.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/bentek_ogrp-slides-8-14- 2012.pdfhttp://ndpipelines.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/bentek_ogrp-slides-8-14- 2012.pdf

7 Sample Gas Well Decline Curve Source: Williston Basin: Greasing the Gears for Growth in North Dakota. NDPA/NDIC Study. BENTEK Energy. http://ndpipelines.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/bentek_ogrp-slides-8-14- 2012.pdfhttp://ndpipelines.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/bentek_ogrp-slides-8-14- 2012.pdf

8 Activity Forecasts By Subarea Drilling – Oil well spuds – Gas well spuds Active well counts – Oil wells – Gas wells Liquids Production – Crude oil – Condensate Gas Production – Associated gas – Natural gas

9 2011 Subarea Contributions

10 Bakken Subarea Drilling Oil well spuds

11 Bakken Subarea Drilling Gas well spuds

12 Bakken Subarea Active Wells Oil Wells

13 Bakken Subarea Active Wells Gas Wells

14 Bakken Subarea Crude Oil Production Oil Wells

15 Bakken Subarea Condensate Production Gas Wells

16 Bakken Subarea Associated Gas Production Oil wells

17 Bakken Subarea Natural Gas Production Gas wells

18 Cedar Creek Anticline Drilling Oil well spuds

19 Cedar Creek Anticline Drilling Gas well spuds

20 Cedar Creek Anticline Number of Active Wells Oil Wells

21 Cedar Creek Anticline Number of Active Wells Gas Wells

22 Cedar Creek Anticline Crude Oil Production Oil Wells

23 Cedar Creek Anticline Condensate Production Gas Wells

24 Cedar Creek Anticline Associated Gas Production Oil wells

25 Cedar Creek Anticline Natural Gas Production Gas wells

26 All Remaining Counties Drilling Oil well spuds

27 All Remaining Counties Drilling Gas well spuds

28 All Remaining Counties Number of Active Wells Oil Wells

29 All Remaining Counties Number of Active Wells Gas Wells

30 All Remaining Counties Crude Oil Production Oil Wells

31 All Remaining Counties Condensate Production Gas Wells

32 All Remaining Counties Associated Gas Production Oil wells

33 All Remaining Counties Natural Gas Production Gas wells

34 Infrastructure Development: Casinghead Gas Flaring Data from 2009 to Jan 2013 from ND DMR https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/stats/Gas1990ToPresent.pdf https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/stats/Gas1990ToPresent.pdf

35 Infrastructure Development: Oil Direct to pipeline infrastructure?

36 Infrastructure Development: Oil Pipeline vs. Rail source: NDPA http://northdakotapipelines.com/oil-transportation-table/http://northdakotapipelines.com/oil-transportation-table/

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