1. Data for Effective Policies to Reduce Killed and Seriously Injured Road Users Stephen Perkins Head of Research International Transport Forum at the OECD

2. Outline Introduce IRTAD International Road Traffic Safety Data and Analysis Group Focus on Membership and twinning potential Latest safety performance data Safe System and matching policies to targets Serious injury data and reporting Motorcycling safety Safe System: Evidence of impact 2

3. The International Transport Forum at the OECD 3 Think Tank Annual Summit Intergovernmental Organisation

4. IRTAD-LAC IRTAD 70 members from 35 countries

5. IRTAD Output Annual report on performance in member countries Road safety database Research reports: – Reporting on serious injuries – Speed and crash risk Annual meetings X2, permanent networking Twinning projects with new countries www.internationaltransportforum. org/irtadpublic/index.html

6. Latest IRTAD data: Reduction in Fatalities Change 2011/2001 6

7. Killed / 100 000 population in 2011 7

8. Killed / billion vehicle km in 2011 8

9. Killed / 10 000 vehicles in 2011 9

10. Latest IRTAD data: Reduction in Fatalities Change 2011/2001 10

11. Contemporary Road Safety Policy Ambitious Targets and the Safe System Approach Sweden and Netherlands led the way Vision Zero and Sustainable Safety Inspiring long term vision to eliminate deaths and serious injuries Steady progress through interim targets based on funded interventions Netherlands targets 2020: – Deaths < 500 – Serious injuries < 10 600 Focus moving to serious injuries 11

12. The Serious Injury Problem 12 2010FranceGermany Fatalities3 9923 648 Hospitalised30 39362 620 Injured84 461371 170 x 2 x 4 Why slower progress? Can we trust the data?

13. We need better injury record systems To assess the real number of serious injuries – Real costs of road crashes To understand the consequences of different crash types To design adequate countermeasures to reduce serious injures 13

14. Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale: MAIS3+ 14 RegionInjury descriptionAbbreviated Injury Scale Head and NeckCerebral contusion3 FaceNo injury 0 ChestFlail chest4 Abdomen Minor contusion of liver Complex rupture of spleen 2525 ExtremityFractured femur3 ExternalNo injury0 MAXIMUM5 Report: http://www.internationaltransportforum.org/ irtadpublic/pdf/Road-Casualties-Web.pdf Example

15. Reporting injuries: IRTAD recommendations 15 Complement police data with hospital data Medics not police best at assessing severity of injuries Link police and hospital data – Both sets of data incomplete – Deterministic and probabilistic methods exist – To link and estimate overall total

16. Using Linked and MAIS Data SWOV Reporting to IRTAD 16 1970198019902000200920102010% change over 200920001970 Fatalities (reported) 3 1811 9961 3761 082644537-17%-50%-83% Injury crashes 58 88349 38344 91537 94719 37810 778-44%-72%-82% Rates Deaths / 100 000 population 24.614.29.26.83.93.6-8%-42%-85% Deaths / 10 000 registered vehicles -4.32.41.40.70.6-9%-54%- Deaths / billion veh.-km -26.714.29.35- Motorisation mveh / 1000 pop; 213333390482561563+0.4%+17%+164% 2000200920102010% change over 20092000 Fatalities (real) 1 166720640-11%-45% Seriously injured (MAIS2+) 16 50018 88019 200+2%+16% (MAIS3+) 5 2205 470 Rates Deaths / 100 000 population 7.34.43.9-11%-47% Deaths / 10 000 registered vehicles 1.50.80.7-12%-54% Deaths / billion vehi-km 105.6 Netherlands Police Data Netherlands Linked Data Seriously injured Log scale

17. Using Linked and MAIS Data: SWOV Road Safety Outlook 2020 17 Impact of Measures in 2012 Road Safety Policy Stimulus Impact of Potential Extra Measures Targets 100 6 500 - 8 500

18. 18 Killed / 100 000 pop using real estimates for NL, 2011

19. Motorcycling safety working group Will report in 2013 Acknowledges rapidly growing road user share of PTWs, for essential and for recreational use Recommends: – Training for all road users to protect PTW riders – Infrastructure treatments in key locations – Advanced braking systems 19

20. Safe System Policy: Evidence of Impact Working group to be established fall 2013 Cycling Safety Report to be published 2013 Chair Niels Torlsov, Copenhagen 20

21. Concluding remarks Data matters for effective policy IRTAD Triennial Research Conference, with PIARC Buenos Aires 11-14 November 2013 21 Web IRTAD OISEVI PIARC International Transport Forum

22. Thank you stephen.perkins@oecd.org www.internationaltransportforum.org