1. Energy and Climate Change:The Context Richard A. Meserve Carnegie Institution 1530 P St., NW Washington, DC 20004 202-387-6404 rmeserve@ciw.edu

2. Fossil fuels drove most of the growth & were almost 80% of supply in 2000.

4. Atmospheric CO 2 measured at Mauna Loa, Hawaii. Source: NOAA Climate Monitoring and Diagnostic Laboratory Direct measurements of CO 2 show continued rise Concentration reached 380 ppmv in 2005 Fossil-fuel origin of most of the increase is confirmed by reduction in C-14 concentration.

5. The last 400 and next 100 years of global temperature Mid-range scenarios are heading for T‘s last seen 30 million years ago.

6. World CO 2 Emissions by Region (Mt of CO 2 ) Source: IEA, 2006

7. CO 2 Data Source: IEA, 2006 CO 2 Emissions (Mt of CO 2 ) Population (million) CO 2 /Pop (t CO 2 /capita) GDP (billion 2000$) CO 2 /GDP (kg CO 2 /2000$) World 2658363524.18350250.76 China 476913033.6619042.50 India 110210801.025811.90 United States 580029419.73107040.54 OECD 12911116411.09276980.47

8. Fossil fuels drove most of the growth & were almost 80% of supply in 2000.

9. Source: IEA, 2006 Regional Shares of Crude Oil Production