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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Economics 12 [The International Market] International Trade
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair International Trade All economies, regardless of their size, depend to some extent on other economies and are affected by events outside their borders. The “internationalization” or “globalization” of the U.S. economy has occurred in the private and public sectors, in input and output markets, and in business firms and households.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Trade Surpluses and Deficits U.S. Balance of Trade (Exports Minus Imports), 1929 – 1999 (Billions of Dollars) EXPORTS MINUS IMPORTS 1929 + 0.4 1984– 102.0 1933 + 0.1 1985– 114.2 1945 – 0.9 1986– 131.9 1955 + 0.4 1987– 142.3 1960 + 2.4 1988– 106.3 1965 + 3.9 1989– 80.7 1970 + 1.2 1990– 71.4 1975 + 13.6 1991– 20.7 1976 – 2.3 1992– 27.9 1977 – 23.7 1993– 60.5 1978 – 26.1 1994– 87.1 1979 – 24.0 1995– 84.3 1980 – 14.9 1996– 89.0 1981 – 15.0 1997– 89.3 1982 – 20.5 1998– 151.5 1983 – 51.7 1999– 254.0
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Canada – Balance of Trade Canada reported a trade deficit equivalent to 81 Million CAD in November of 2010. International trade makes up a large part of the Canadian economy. Exports amount to more than 45% of its GDP. US is by far its largest trading partner, accounting for about 79% of exports and 54% of imports as of 2008. Canada is one of the few developed nations that are a net exporter of energy. Canada imports mostly machinery and equipment, motor vehicles and parts, electronics, chemicals, electricity and durable consumer goods.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Canada – Balance of Trade
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Economic Basis for Trade: Comparative Advantage Corn Laws were the tariffs, subsidies, and restrictions enacted by the British Parliament in the early nineteenth century to discourage imports and encourage exports of grain. David Ricardo’s theory of comparative advantage, which he used to argue against the corn laws, states that specialization and free trade will benefit all trading partners (real wages will rise), even those that may be absolutely less efficient producers.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Absolute Advantage Versus Comparative Advantage A country enjoys an absolute advantage over another country in the production of a product if it uses fewer resources to produce that product than the other country does. A country enjoys a comparative advantage in the production of a good if that good can be produced at a lower cost in terms of other goods.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Mutual Absolute Advantage YIELD PER ACRE OF WHEAT AND COTTON NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA Wheat6 bushels2 bushels Cotton2 bales6 bales In this example, New Zealand can produce three times the wheat that Australia can on one acre of land, and Australia can produce three times the cotton. We say that the two countries have mutual absolute advantage.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Mutual Absolute Advantage Suppose that each country divides its land to obtain equal units of cotton and wheat production. TOTAL PRODUCTION OF WHEAT AND COTTON ASSUMING NO TRADE, MUTUAL ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE, AND 100 AVAILABLE ACRES NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA Wheat 25 acres x 6 bushels/acre 150 bushels 75 acres x 2 bushels/acre 150 bushels Cotton 75 acres x 2 bales/acre 150 bales 25 acres x 6 bales/acre 150 bales
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Production Possibility Frontiers Because both countries have an absolute advantage in the production of one product, specialization and trade will benefit both. for Australia and New Zealand Before Trade
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Specialization An agreement to trade 300 bushels of wheat for 300 bales of cotton would double both wheat and cotton consumption in both countries. PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF WHEAT AFTER SPECIALIZATION PRODUCTIONCONSUMPTION NEW ZEALAND AUSTRALIA NEW ZEALAND AUSTRALIA Wheat 100 acres x 6 bu/acre 600 bushels 75 acres x 2 bu/acre 150 bushels 300 bushels Cotton 0 acres 0 100 acres x 6 bales/acre 600 bales 300 bales
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Specialization
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage Even if a country had a considerable absolute advantage in the production of both goods, Ricardo would argue that specialization and trade are still mutually beneficial. When countries specialize in producing the goods in which they have a comparative advantage, they maximize their combined output and allocate their resources more efficiently.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage The real cost of producing cotton is the wheat that must be sacrificed to produce it. A country has a comparative advantage in cotton production if its opportunity cost, in terms of wheat, is lower than the other country.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage To illustrate the gains from comparative advantage, assume (again) that in each country people want to consume equal amounts of cotton and wheat. Now, each country is constrained by its domestic production possibilities curve, as follows: YIELD PER ACRE OF WHEAT AND COTTON NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA Wheat6 bushels1 bushel Cotton6 bales3 bales
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage TOTAL PRODUCTION OF WHEAT AND COTTON ASSUMING NO TRADE AND 100 AVAILABLE ACRES NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA Wheat 50 acres x 6 bushels/acre 300 bushels 75 acres x 1 bushels/acre 75 bushels Cotton 50 acres x 6 bales/acre 300 bales 25 acres x 3 bales/acre 75 bales The gains from trade in this example can be demonstrated in three stages.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage Stage 1: Australia transfers all its land into cotton production. New Zealand cannot completely specialize in wheat because it needs 300 bales of cotton and will not be able to get enough cotton from Australia (if countries are to consume equal amounts of cotton and wheat). REALIZING A GAIN FROM TRADE WHEN ONE COUNTRY HAS A DOUBLE ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE STAGE 1 NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA Wheat 50 acres x 6 bushels/acre 300 bushels 0 acres 0 Cotton 50 acres x 6 bales/acre 300 bales 100 acres x 3 bales/acre 300 bales
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage Stage 2: New Zealand transfers 25 acres out of cotton and into wheat. REALIZING A GAIN FROM TRADE WHEN ONE COUNTRY HAS A DOUBLE ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE STAGE 2 NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA Wheat 75 acres x 6 bushels/acre 450 bushels 0 acres 0 Cotton 25 acres x 6 bales/acre 150 bales 100 acres x 3 bales/acre 300 bales
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage Stage 3: Countries trade REALIZING A GAIN FROM TRADE WHEN ONE COUNTRY HAS A DOUBLE ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE STAGE 3 NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIA 100 bushels (trade) Wheat 350 bushels100 bushels (after trade) 200 bushels (trade) Cotton 350 bales100 bales (after trade)
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Gains from Comparative Advantage Both countries are better off than they were before trade. Both have moved beyond their own production possibility frontiers.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Stop Here for Today
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Exchange Rates When trade is free – unimpeded by government-instituted barriers – patterns of trade and trade flows result from the independent decisions of thousands of importers and exporters and millions of private households and firms. To understand these patterns we must know something about the factors that determine exchange rates.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Exchange Rates An exchange rate is the ratio at which two currencies are traded. The price of one currency in terms of another. For any pair of countries, there is a range of exchange rates that can lead automatically to both countries realizing the gains from specialization and comparative advantage. Exchange rates determine the terms of trade.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Exchange Rates Domestic Prices of Timber (Per Foot) and Rolled Steel (Per Meter) in the United States and Brazil UNITED STATESBRAZIL Timber$13 Reals Rolled steel$24 Reals The option of buying at home or importing will depend on the exchange rate.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Exchange Rates Trade Flows Determined by Exchange Rates EXCHANGE RATE PRICE OF REALRESULT $1 = 1 R$1.00 Brazil imports timber and steel $1 = 2 R.50 Brazil imports timber $1 = 2.1 R.48 Brazil imports timber; United States imports steel $1 = 2.9 R.34 Brazil imports timber; United States imports steel $1 = 3 R.33 United States imports steel $1 = 4 R.25 United States imports timber and steel
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Exchange Rates If exchange rates end up in the right ranges, the free market will drive each country to shift resources into those sectors in which it enjoys a comparative advantage. Only those products in which a country has a comparative advantage will be competitive in world markets.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Sources of Comparative Advantage Factor endowments refer to the quantity and quality of labor, land, and natural resources of a country. Factor endowments seem to explain a significant portion of actual world trade patterns.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Sources of Comparative Advantage The Heckscher-Ohlin theorem is a theory that explains the existence of a country’s comparative advantage by its factor endowments. According to the theorem, a country has a comparative advantage in the production of a product if that country is relatively well endowed with inputs used intensively in the production of that product.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Sources of Comparative Advantage Product differentiation is a natural response to diverse preferences within an economy, and across economies. Some economists also distinguish between acquired comparative advantage and natural comparative advantages. Economies of scale may be available when producing for a world market that would not be available when producing for a limited domestic market.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Trade Barriers: Tariffs, Export Subsidies, and Quotas Protection is the practice of shielding a sector of the economy from foreign competition. A tariff is a tax on imports. A quota is a limit on the quantity of imports. Export subsidies are government payments made to domestic firms to encourage exports. Closely related to subsidies is dumping. A firm or industry sells products on the world market at prices below the cost of production.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Trade Barriers: Tariffs, Export Subsidies, and Quotas The Smoot-Hawley tariff was the U.S. tariff law of the 1930s, which set the highest tariff in U.S. history (60 percent). It set off an international trade war and caused the decline in trade that is often considered a cause of the worldwide depression of the 1930s. The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) is an international agreement signed by the United States and 22 other countries in 1947 to promote the liberalization of foreign trade.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Economic Integration Economic integration occurs when two or more nations join to form a free-trade zone. The European Union (EU) is the European trading bloc composed of Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. Formed in 1991
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Economic Integration The U.S.-Canadian Free-Trade Agreement is an agreement in which the United States and Canada agreed to eliminate all barriers to trade between the two countries by 1988. The North American Free-Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is an agreement signed by the United States, Mexico, and Canada in which the three countries agreed to establish all of North America as a free-trade zone.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The North American Free-Trade Agreement (NAFTA) In 1988, U.S. signed a free trade agreement with Canada (effective 1994); later extended to Mexico. General consensus has emerged among economists that NAFTA has increased trade and employment opportunities on both sides of the border.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair Stop Here for Today
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Case for Free Trade The case for free trade is based on the theory of comparative advantage. When countries specialize and trade based on comparative advantage, consumers pay less and consume more, and resources are used more efficiently. When tariffs and quotas are imposed, some of the gains from trade are lost.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Gains from Trade When world price is $2, domestic quantity demanded rises, and quantity supplied falls. Supply drops and resources are transferred to other sectors.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Losses from the Imposition of a Tariff The loss of efficiency from a $1 tariff has two components: Consumers must pay a higher price for goods that could be produced at a lower cost. Marginal producers are drawn into textiles and away from other goods, resulting in inefficient domestic production. Government revenue equals the shaded area.
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© 2002 Prentice Hall Business PublishingPrinciples of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair The Case for Protection Protection saves jobs Some countries engage in unfair trade practices Cheap foreign labor makes competition unfair Protection safeguards national security Protection discourages dependency Protection safeguards infant industries
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