Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byMilton Barnard Turner Modified over 9 years ago
1
Peak Oil Professor Leonard Rodberg Department of Urban Studies Office Powdermaker Rm 250A Email leonard.rodberg@qc.cuny.eduleonard.rodberg@qc.cuny.edu Telephone 718-997-5134 Global Climate Change and Public Policy
2
US Oil Production and Imports 2004
3
The Time Course of Production of any Non-renewal Resource according to M. King Hubbert
4
It Gets Harder and Harder to Find Oil
5
Hubbert Curve for US Oil Production - 1956
6
US Oil Production and Imports 2004
7
The Paper that Started It All… *Publication No. 95, Shell Development Company, Exploration and Production Research Division, Houston, Texas **Chief Consultant (General Geology).
8
World Energy Use by Fuel
9
Hubbert Curve for World Oil Production - 1956
10
The Decline of New Oil Discoveries
11
Oil Production Worldwide
12
The Optimists’ View
13
Taking the Long View: The History of the Human Race according to M. King Hubbert
14
It’s Getting Warmer
15
And the Sea Level is Rising
16
Greenhouse Effect
17
What are the Greenhouse Gases? Carbon Dioxide (CO 2 ) Methane (CH 4 ) Principal Source: Burning of Fossil Fuels: Oil, natural gas/methane, coal Hydrocarbons (C n H m) ) + Oxygen (O 2 ) CO 2 + H 2 O Also Nitrous Oxide (N 2 O) Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)
18
Radiative Forcing Components Carbon, and Fossil Fuels, are the Culprit
19
The Concentration of CO2 is Growing
20
Impacts Worldwide GLOBAL WARMING: Early Warning Signs Fingerprints and Harbingers Heat waves and periods of unusually warm weather Sea level rise and coastal flooding Glaciers melting Arctic and Antarctic warming Spreading disease Earlier spring arrival Plant and animal range shifts and population declines Coral reef bleaching Downpours, heavy snowfalls, and flooding Droughts and fires www.climatehotmap.org
21
U.S. Carbon Stabilization via Wedges Source: Lashof and Hawkins, NRDC, in Socolow and Pacala, Scientific American, September 2006, p. 57
22
Wind Electricity Effort needed by 2055 for 1 wedge: One million 2-MW windmills displacing coal power. Today: 50,000 MW (1/40) Prototype of 80 m tall Nordex 2,5 MW wind turbine located in Grevenbroich, Germany (Danish Wind Industry Association) Wind Electricity
23
Photovoltaic Power
24
Electricity Nuclear Site: Surry station, James River, VA; 1625 MW since 1972-73. Credit: Dominion. A revised goal: retrievable storage Natural-U plants (no enrichment), no reprocessing Universal rules and international governance Phase out of nuclear power creates the need for another half wedge. Nuclear Electricity Effort needed by 2055 for 1 wedge: 700 GW (twice current capacity) displacing coal power.
25
Biofuels
26
Efficient Use of Electricity lighting motorscogeneration Effort needed by 2055 for 1 wedge:. 25% reduction in expected 2055 electricity use in commercial and residential buildings Target commercial and multifamily buildings. Efficient Use of Electricity
27
Efficient Use of Fuel Effort needed by 2055 for 1 wedge: Note: 1 car driven 10,000 miles at 30 mpg emits 1 ton of carbon. 2 billion cars driven 10,000 miles per year at 60 mpg instead of 30 mpg. 2 billion cars driven, at 30 mpg, 5,000 instead of 10,000 miles per year. Property-tax systems that reinvigorate cities and discourage sprawl Efficient Use of Fuel
28
Carbon Storage Graphic courtesy of Statoil ASA Graphic courtesy of David Hawkins Sleipner project, offshore Norway Carbon Storage Effort needed by 2055 for 1 wedge: 3500 Sleipners @1 MtCO 2 /yr 100 x U.S. CO 2 injection rate for EOR A flow of CO 2 into the Earth equal to the flow of oil out of the Earth today
29
Reforestation and Land Conservation
30
NYC Energy Profile 1979
31
Saving Energy in NYC Source: L. Rodberg and G. Stokes, The Village Voice, Feb. 18, 1980
32
PlaNYC Mitigation Measures
33
PlaNYC Wedges
34
Planning for a Major Hurricane
35
Both Adaptation and Mitigation: Mayor’s PlaNYC Adapts to Some Inevitable Climate Change Protect our city’s vital infrastructure Work with vulnerable neighborhoods to develop site-specific strategies Launch a citywide strategic planning process for climate change adaptation
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.