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GOVT S-1113 Lecture 11
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Post-communist Transitions Four Main Trajectories: – ECE model Democratization (with “hiccups”) – Former Yugoslavia/Balkans Internecine conflict/ political divorce (bloody, for the most part) – Soviet “Slavic core” neo-authoritarian backsliding – Central Asia largely demagogic/sultanistic rule
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Statue of Saparmurat Niyazov (“Turkmenbashi”)
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Structure and Agency in Post- communist Transitions Structural factors – West – East Intermediate-term legacies – Interwar period Proximate legacies – Different “types” of communism
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Structure and Agency in Post- communist Transitions Dedication of elites to project of democracy Patience of voting public/ability to tolerate reform Ideational affinity and “peer group” Statesmen and “accidental politicians”
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Competing Explanations for Collapse of Communism Elite enervation Undermined by popular pressure Broke apart due to institutional and organizational inefficiency Pressure from outside
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Concurrent Reforms Political Economic Social
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“Deep” Legacies (aka “structure”) Three historical regions of Europe (Jeno Szucs, 1983) Fault-lines of European politics: -Religion -Political traditions -Economic development level
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Warsaw Uprising Child Soldier and Mały Powstaniec Statue
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Anti-Communist Political Posters
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«Господи! Помоги мне выжить среди этой смертной любви» (Mein Gott, hilf mir, diese tödliche Liebe zu überleben) Dmitri Vrubel
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