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Notes: Macroeconomics- The Business Cycle & Economic Indicators by Mrs. Erin Cervi
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The Macroeconomic Perspective Macroeconomics: examines the overall health and growth of the economy as a whole, concerning itself with the aggregate behavior of consumers & producers. What are the macroeconomic goals of the national economy and how do we measure if we are meeting those goals? Economic growth national income (GDP) Stable prices inflation rates/Consumer Price Index (CPI) High employment (low cyclical unemployment) employment rates/unemployment rates
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The peak, a high point in economic growth---when GDP stops growing. It is followed by a contraction—the period between the peak and trough---and is a period of economic decline. – Recession: 2 consecutive quarters (6 months of negative growth rates)- in the U.S. it must be classified by the NBER – Depression–MOST SEVERE CONTRACTION. Historical identification that was used to describe the prolonged and severe recession during the 1930s. A contraction continues until the lowest point is reached--called a trough. An expansion follows—period of economic growth – A recovery occurs as the economy starts expanding again, and prosperity occurs when economic growth exceeds the previous peak.
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Different Impact on States The Decline: The Geography of a Recession – More up-to-date More up-to-date Some States Worse Than Others – The intensity of the business cycle varies from region to region across the U.S. – A recession hits hardest those regions that produce durable or manufactured goods or rely on single service industries. Michigan, California, Florida, Pennsylvania
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How do we measure where we are in the business cycle? statistics Economic indicators: a set of key economic variables (statistics) that economists use to predict a new phase of the business cycle and identify trends in the economy.
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