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Genuine Progress Index for Atlantic Canada Indice de progrès véritable - Atlantique MEASURING COMMUNITY WELLBEING: NEXT STEPS Mayors and CEOs of New Zealand Cities Manukau, 23 November, 2004
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Goal: To measure current wellbeing, and the prospects of future generations
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GDP-based measures of progress send misleading messages Crime, sickness, pollution, natural resource depletion make economy grow Economy can grow even as poverty and inequality increase. Volunteer work, unpaid household work, free time, health, education have no value Vital social, environmental assets ignored
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Indicators are Powerful What we measure: reflects what we value as a society; determines what makes it onto the policy agenda; influences behaviour (eg students)
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A good set of indicators can help communities: foster common vision and purpose; identify strengths and weaknesses; change public behaviour; hold leaders accountable at election time initiate actions to promote wellbeing
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GPI Atlantic was founded to address that need Non-profit, fully independent research group founded April, 1997 Located Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. Web site: www.gpiatlantic.org Core of 10 researchers, academics, experts; 12-person board of directors
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NZ on the leading edge Marilyn Waring’s pioneering work Quality of Life in NZ’s 8 Largest Cities -> 12 Monitoring Progress Towards a Sustainable NZ Social Reports (MSD) Tomorrow’s Manukau: A vision into the future Local Government Act 2002 Linked indicators project
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Indicators: Where we are at in Canada and New Zealand Recognized inadequacy, flaws of conventional GDP-based measures of progress Understood potential power of indicators, role in determining policy agenda, and necessity for more accurate, comprehensive indicators Developed data sources, methodologies, reporting mechanisms for wide range of social, economic, environmental indicators
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Limitations & Next Steps Some new social targets, but not yet shifted policy agenda in fundamental ways, nor effectively challenged power and dominance of conventional measures Fringe, satellite vs mainstream No integrated, coherent system: - NZ – Social Report, QOL in 8 Cities report, Sustainable NZ report; - Canada – GPI, IEW, PSI, NRTEE – ESDI, QOLIP, etc.
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In Canada, we’ve concluded four steps are needed: New measures can no longer just be “add-ons” or satellites, but must challenge and critique the still dominant GDP-based measures of progress One coherent, integrated framework to become new core measure of progress Internationally, regionally comparable Beyond indicators to a new set of national accounts – full national wealth
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Key purposes of the new Canadian Index of Wellbeing To articulate vision of Canada’s future To account accurately for both current wellbeing and sustainability so trade-offs are clear and transparent To bring key social and environmental issues, often neglected, onto the policy agenda To enhance accountability To inform policy, improve performance, and evaluate program effectiveness
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Purpose in relation to GDP CIW intent – To become Canada’s core, central measure of progress, and to replace misuse of GDP for that purpose (not abolish GDP!) To relegate GDP to function for which it was originally designed and intended – as measure of size of economy (Kuznets) To redefine ‘healthy economy’ in terms of wellbeing outcomes instead of growth, so that misleading signals will no longer blunt initiatives to reduce GHGs, poverty, inequity; conserve resources; prevent illness, etc.
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Canadian Index of Wellbeing Partnership of Canada’s foremost indicator practitioners National Working Group of 20 includes: 3 govt. agencies (Statcan, Envt.Can, CIHI) + experts from 8 universities, 7 provinces, 5 non-government research organizations Funded by Atkinson Charitable Foundation Spokesman – Roy Romanow
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CIW Key Principles Will measure wellbeing and sustainability in same reporting framework: Legacy (wellbeing of future generations + ours) = cross-cutting theme within every domain. This is unique (cf NZ, QOL) Will focus on outcomes for key conditions of wellbeing Will report on infrastructural inputs (e.g. health care), determinants within each outcome domain Framework = sustainability circle vs 3-legged stool or triple bottom line: Relationship
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Natural environment Society Economy
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Values, elements of wellbeing Health Security Knowledge Community Freedom Ecological integrity Equity(+ lit. review)
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Outcome domains in the CIW Standard of living Time use (and balance) Healthy populace Educated populace Community vitality Ecosystem services Governance
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Process and reporting Disaggregation - geographic (national, provincial, municipal) and demographic Multiple audiences: Report limited # of key messages for public, policy audience, but experts can drill down for analysis (iceberg metaphor) Double review process, public consultation, “cabinet” approach at release (challenge!)
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Unresolved (parked) issues Begin with ‘low-hanging fruit’ where indicators, data sources, methods agreed and good prior work exists - (e.g. living standards, time use, population health, some environmental indicators – like air quality, GHG emissions) But some domains require further definition, indicator selection – (e.g. education, community vitality, governance vs democracy, other environmental indicators (NR accounts like forests – qualitative + quantitative, waste, etc.) “Index” and aggregation to single # or sub- indices
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More unresolved issues Beyond indicators to accounting framework: FCA and the capital approach (sustainability and monetization)? Global dimension - ethical relations w. other nations Communications and release strategies (gradual as early results available or all at once?) Data challenges – e.g. frequency (time use cf GDP)
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E.g. Unresolved: Defining community vitality Safe communities Cohesion Inclusion Multiculturalism Identity Religion/spirituality Family Culture, arts, recreation
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E.g. Full Cost Accounting Basic Principles and challenges: Expanded definition of capital: Natural, human, social, cultural, produced capital, but no common metric for measurement External -> internal benefits and costs Price non-market benefits and costs Fixed -> variable costs Strengths: Enhances market efficiency, reduces needs for govt. regulation, provides more accurate, comprehensive information
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Fundamental approach Not allow the “tyranny of the best” to stand in the way of practical movement towards the “best possible” Transparent, open to change – better methodologies and data sources Not defensive – recognize that valuation of human, social, natural wealth, however imperfect, is far more accurate than omission or de facto ‘zero’ valuation
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Resolved – build on existing work. E.g. Standard of living Median income Income and wealth distribution (GINI, quintiles, SFS) Poverty and low income rates Income volatility (dynamics) Economic security (incl. social safety net) Employment, unemployment, underemployment, job security, work arrangements Resolved: Population health status, outcomes
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Resolved – e.g. 2 sides of sustainability equation Production (supply) and consumption (demand): CIW will reflect outcomes (resource supply), but demand reported as determinant = the “why” Ecological footprint shifts onus to consumer -> shared responsibility, and can mobilize citizens Recognizes global consequences of local actions Brings together the environmental and social aspects of sustainability (e.g. equity-Brundtland)
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Brundtland Commission's seminal definition of Sustainable Development Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs... Even the narrow notion of physical sustainability implies a concern for social equity between generations, a concern that must logically be extended to equity within each generation. – World Commission on Environment and Development (Brundtland Commission), 1987. Our Common Future, Oxford University Press, New York.
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Statistics Canada: 1997, Econnections: Linking the Environment and the Economy: A consensus has emerged that sustainable development refers at once to economic, social and environmental needs... A clear social objective that falls out of the definition (of sustainable development) is that of equity, both among members of the present generation and between the present and future generations… It is clear that the spirit of sustainable development implies that all people have the right to a healthy, productive environment and the economic and social benefits that come with it.
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Global, equity dimensions: 20% of world’s people in highest-income countries account for 86% of consumption spending. Poorest 20% account for 1.3% Richest 20% consume 45% of all meat and fish, poorest 20% consume just 5% Richest 20% = 58% of total energy, poorest 20% = <4% Richest 20% =84% of paper, poorest 20% = 1.1% Richest 20% =87% of world's vehicle fleet, the poorest 20% = <1%
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Translation to Behaviour: e.g. Estimated Transportation Footprint, NS 1985-2025
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Reduction in Commuting Footprint
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From Principles to Practicality: Sample Results - Policy Policy penetration: e.g. Office of Health Promotion; volunteer work; forest accounts; school curricula; media – call-in shows But last election sobering – requires quantum leap forward CIW will build on existing work, including NS GPI = pilot project (GPI adds economic valuation, full-cost accounting)
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Measuring Wellbeing. In the GPI: Health, free time, unpaid work (voluntary and household), and education have value Sickness, crime, disasters, pollution are costs Natural resources (eg forests) are capital assets Reductions in greenhouse gas, crime, poverty, ecological footprint are progress Growing equity signals progress No bottom line (eg air quality Auckland/Christchurch)
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Nova Scotia Genuine Progress Index: 22 Components Natural Capital: Soils and Agriculture Forests Marine Environment/Fisheries Water Resources / Water Quality Nonrenewable Subsoil Assets
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Nova Scotia Genuine Progress Index: Twenty-two Components Environment: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Sustainable Transportation Ecological Footprint Analysis Air Quality Solid Waste
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Nova Scotia Genuine Progress Index: Twenty-two Components Time Use: Value of Civic and Voluntary Work Value of Unpaid Housework & Childcare Work Time and Underemployment Value of Leisure Time Marilyn Waring’s pioneering work paved way
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Nova Scotia Genuine Progress Index: Twenty-two Components Social Capital/Socioeconomic Health Educational Attainment Income Distribution, Debts and Assets Livelihood Security Costs of Crime Human Freedom Index
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Examples of GPI Results: e.g. Valuing Voluntary Work Canadians contribute 3.4 billion hours of voluntary work per year; equivalent of 1.8 million FTE jobs (economic add-on) Services worth $53.2 billion / year, invisible in our conventional measures of progress 1990s: voluntary work down 12.3% - time stress Canadians lose $6 billion in volunteer services
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Valuing a Healthy Population GPI Population Health Reports include: Cost of Chronic Illness in Canada (focus on preventable portion) Women’s Health in Atlantic Canada Income, Health and Disease in Canada; Equity and Disease in Atlantic Canada Costs of Tobacco, Obesity, Physical Inactivity Cost of HIV/AIDS in Canada Economic Impact of Smoke-Free Workplaces Value of Care-giving
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Valuing Equity: GDP tells us how much income, not how income shared
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Valuing Natural Resource Health For example, a healthy forest effectively: Prevents soil erosion/sediment control Protects watersheds Regulates climate regulation/sequesters carbon Provides habitat for wildlife / biodiversity Supports recreation, tourism, aesthetic quality Provides timber
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% Forest Area by Age Class, NS 1958-99
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CONCLUSION: Clearcut harvesting and loss of natural age and species diversity have resulted in loss of: valuable species wide diameter and clear lumber that fetch premium market prices resilience and resistance to insect infestation wildlife habitat, & decreasing populations of birds forest recreation values - impact nature tourism
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This represents a substantial depreciation of a valuable natural capital asset a decline in forested watershed protection and a 50% drop in shade- dependent brook trout soil degradation and the leaching of nutrients that can affect future timber productivity a substantial decline in carbon storage capacity and an increase in biomass carbon loss a decline in other essential forest ecosystem services.
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The Good News: Volume 2: Best Forestry Practices in N. S. Selection harvesting increases forest value and provides more jobs Shift to value-added creates more jobs Restoration forestry is a good investment What incentives can encourage restoration
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Community GPI Initiative came from community groups. Many community partnerships include: NS Citizens for Community Development Society; community health boards, regional public health authorities, Cape Breton Wellness Centre, Atlantic Centre of Excellence for Women’s Health CB regional police, Glace Bay Citizens Service League, Rotary Clubs, Kings and Cape Breton Community Economic Development Agencies
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Community-Government- University Partnerships: Federal: Canadian Population Health Initiative, National Crime Prevention Centre, HRDC, Canadian Rural Partnership, Rural Secretariat, Statistics Canada Dalhousie Univ. Population Health Research Unit; St. Mary’s University Time Use Research Program University College of Cape Breton, Acadia U.
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Goals and Objectives: Community: vision, learn, mobilize, act Vision - community indicator selection “Learning about ourselves” Mobilize communities - common goals Turn new-found knowledge into action
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Research Goals: Identifying strengths and weaknesses of 2 very different communities Community learning about itself, insights, understanding relationships among variables - eg volunteerism, time use and health Turning knowledge into action; keeping track - measuring genuine progress
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Process as Result Indicator selection, creating survey Farmers exchanging information Report releases in Sheffield Mills, Jeddore - farmers, fishermen present New ideas: e.g. restorative justice Results bring disparate groups together
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The Means: 3,600 surveys - random, 15+, confidential CI 95% +/- 3%; 2 cross-tabulations Detailed: 2 hrs; Glace Bay: 82% response Survey includes health, care-giving, time use, voluntary work, security, income employment, environmental issues Data entry & cleaning, access guidelines
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Community Action Community access to results - special software packages, news stories, etc. Meet to discuss results and identify policy priorities / actions Community prioritizes indicators for annual benchmarks of progress Community training - adaptations
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Emphasis on practical action - E.g: Teenage smoking; overweight; exercise - e.g. promote school-based programs Screening rates - mammography, pap smears -- notify health officials of needs Identify counselling needs - employment, domestic violence, mental health Education - nutrition, recycling, energy use From elites to whole community – newsletter, website
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New directions for the future: New solutions: e.g. work-life balance Model for other communities - template for adaptation - community / province Balance community-based research with methodological rigour, Statistics Canada oversight, advice, review Improve methods, indicators, survey tools, data sources - never a final product
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CIW Action on 3 fronts: Research, communication and policy. E.g.: NWG Ottawa Nov 8-9: Research has begun. Announcement in Feb-Mar; next NWG meeting in May to assess progress Reality Check – 3-year pilot now expanded -> high profile seminars International dimension + Conference June 20-23 2005 on global best practices (e.g. Ray Anderson, Paul Hawken)
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Goal: Changing Behaviour E.g. % Waste Diversion in Nova Scotia
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Can it be done?...1900s/1980s...
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CIW: Measuring what we value to leave a better world for our children
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Genuine Progress Index for Atlantic Canada Indice de progrès véritable - Atlantique www.gpiatlantic.org
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