1. The Federal Funding Outlook: A Colorado State Budget Perspective Presentation to the Colorado Counties Inc. Summer Conference Amanda Bickel Chief Legislative Analyst Joint Budget Committee Staff June 6, 2012 Amanda.Bickel@state.co.us 303-866-4960 www.state.co.us/gov_dir/ leg_dir/jbc/jbchome.htm

2. Federal Funding for Human Services: How Important IS it to Colorado?

3. State Appropriations for Department of Human Services County Expenditures for Human Services Programs and Benefits Funding Sources for Colorado Human Services

4. County Human Services Spending: 10 Year Comparison

5. Expenditures for Public Assistance Benefits

6. County Child Welfare (Millions $) County Child Welfare (Millions $) County DHS Administration (Millions $) County DHS Administration (Millions $) Human Services Expenditures except Benefits

7. Why has Human Services become more reliant on federal funds over time? A State Budget Perspective

8. Total Operating Appropriations *Separate category added in FY 08-09 to identify duplicate appropriations. Billions of Dollars Fiscal Year

9. State of Colorado Operating Budget Comparison

10. FY 2000-01: $12.4 Billion FY 2011-12: $19.7 Billion Operating Budget: 11-Year Comparison* *Includes General Fund, cash funds (including duplicated appropriations), and federal funds.

11. FY 2000-01: $5.4 Billion FY 2011-12: $7.1 Billion GF Operating Budget: 11-Year Comparison* *Includes only General Fund.

12. Total Operating Appropriations Per Capita* *Appropriations include General Fund, cash funds, and federal funds, but exclude duplicated amounts. Appropriations are divided by the Colorado population for 2000 and 2011, respectively. FY 2000-01 appropriations are increased to reflect changes in the Denver-Boulder-Greeley CPI from 2000 to 2011. 2011 Dollars per Capita

13. GF Operating Appropriations Per Capita* *Appropriations include General Fund only. Appropriations are divided by the Colorado population for 2000 and 2011, respectively. FY 2000-01 appropriations are increased to reflect changes in the Denver-Boulder-Greeley CPI from 2000 to 2011. 2011 Dollars per Capita

14. Appropriations by Human Services Division: 11 Years

15. ?????? Many federal decisions pending November election Sequestration Other “tightening”, such as loss of $13.6 million TANF supplemental grant, low-income energy assistance cuts Impact of Federal Cuts

16. State Sequestration Impact: Initial Estimates GrantFFY 12 Grant Award (Millions $) FFY 13 Reduction at 8.5 Percent (Millions $) Vocational Rehabilitation40.2(3.4) Low Income Energy Assistance38.1(3.2) Social Services Block Grant27.7(2.4) Child Care Development Funds27.5(2.3) Substance Abuse Block Grant26.2(2.2) Older Americans Act16.1(1.4) Refugee Services12.4(1.1) Child Welfare (IV-B/CAPTA)8.0(0.7) Infants/toddlers with disabilities7.1(0.6) Mental Health Block Grants6.6(0.6) Multiple Other Grants13.5(1.1) TOTAL ESTIMATE$223.4($19.0)

17. The Future: Ongoing State Budget Restrictions  Expenditures cannot exceed revenues  Voter approval required for tax increases  Annual growth for most state revenues limited to inflation plus population [Referendum C base – FY 2007-08]  Annual General Fund appropriations < 5.0% of Colorado personal income  General Fund reserve (4.0% 6.5%)

18. General Fund Revenue Trend Source: Colorado State Controllers Office and Legislative Council Staff projections based on the March 2012 forecast. General Fund

19. TABOR and Referendum C *Legislative Council Staff March 2012 forecast. Source: Colorado State Controllers Office and Legislative Council Staff.

20. Funding Demands: School Districts

21. Funding Demands: Medicaid $ Billions

22. Thank You! Amanda Bickel Chief Legislative Analyst Joint Budget Committee Staff June 6, 2012 Amanda.Bickel@state.co.us 303-866-4960 www.state.co.us/gov_dir/ leg_dir/jbc/jbchome.htm