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Power analysis for a Mark recapture project Dan Bachen Department of Ecology Montana State University.

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Presentation on theme: "Power analysis for a Mark recapture project Dan Bachen Department of Ecology Montana State University."— Presentation transcript:

1 Power analysis for a Mark recapture project Dan Bachen Department of Ecology Montana State University

2 Project overview Data collection –Blacktail WMA –24 plots –4 weeks

3 Mark Recapture Data collection Methods –Trap grids 8x8 –Sherman live traps –5 nights per plot –Unique marks 4 species –Deer mouse dominant > 90% of captures

4 Data example Site Capture Location N1 Capture Location N2 Capture Location N3 Capture Location N4 Capture Location N5 SC104G000 SC104E000 SC106F4G00

5 Power analysis Goals –Optimize sample size Treatment effect -.1 to -1 20 sites used (10 treatment, 10 control) 40 sites used (20 treatment, 20 control) –Effect of -.84 recorded by Ostoja 2009 Assumptions –Abundance estimates normal –Capture probability.2 un-captured individuals.9 captured individuals

6 Power analysis Methods –Generate abundances using likelihood analysis (Rcapture) –Quantify statistics –Use statistics to set parameters –Iterate experiment –Score success

7 Results Mean: 7.44 SE: 5.84

8 Results

9

10 Discussion Experiment might have worked Did I use the right tools? –No –Aggregation of samples Example: –Abundance= 158.2 –SE= 2.3

11 Future Work Re-run power analysis aggregating samples –New tools –RMark Compare results to other techniques


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