1. Schools for Equity in Education Susan Brower, MN State Demographer April 2015

2. 3 Big demographic trends that will impact school districts Growth patterns within MN have changed Aging Increasing diversity— ethnicity, language, religion, and other aspects

3. Exurban growth in the 2000s Source: PolicyMap, U.S. Census Bureau data

4. Source: CURA Reporter, Winter/Spring 2014 Population loss along western edge of state, down into Southwestern prairies has been long- standing U.S. Census Bureau data

5. Population growth rates have converged over the last decade Source: U.S. Census Bureau Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program. Note: Suburban=Anoka, Dakota, Washington, Exurban=Carver, Chisago, Isanti, Scott, Sherburne, Wright

10. How many additional “older adults” will Minnesota gain during this decade? Source: U.S. Census Bureau

11. Unprecedented increases in MN’s “older adult” population Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, MN State Demographic Center

12. Budget pressures will change More 65+ than school-age by 2020 U.S. Census Bureau & Minnesota State Demographic Center

13. Increasingly our demographics will change demand for services General Fund Expenditures FY 2012-2013 Within Health & Human Services Medical Assistance Expenditures: 25% of GF spending (8.5 billion) Medical Assistance Expenditures for the Elderly and Disabled: 16% of GF spending (5.5 billion) MA expenditures include basic care, long-term care waivers and long-term institutional care Sources: Minnesota Management and Budget, February 2013. House Research, Long-Term Care Services for the Elderly, November 2012

14. Projected Growth in Labor Force Annual Average, Ages 16+ Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Minnesota State Demographic Center Projections

15. Black, Latino and Asian populations growing rapidly Source: Tabulated by the Minnesota State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

16. + Our foreign-born population is becoming increasingly diverse Source: Tabulated by the Minnesota State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

17. Source: Tabulated by MN Compass from Minnesota Department of Education data Large gaps in educational achievement and attainment exist across racial groups

18. Growing child poverty, esp. for children of color Source: Minnesota State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

19. Minnesota by race, 2012 Source: 2012 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau. School-age population

20. Largest Population Growth Among Asian, Black and Hispanic Groups Source: Minnesota State Demographic Center projections.

21. Minnesota’s projected net migration and natural change, 2012-2065 Source: State Demographic Center projections, U.S. Census Bureau data used as base population for projections

22. mn.gov/demography Twitter: @MN_StateData