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Published byBartholomew Quinn Modified over 9 years ago
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Grain Marketing AG BM 102
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Hard Red Wheat Price
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Bio-Fuel Ethanol Bio-diesel Both ethanol & bio-diesel rules controversial in Farm Bill debate Corn prices much lower recently
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Corn Supply Bil. Bu. YearBeg stocksProductionSupply 2009/101.6713.1014.77 2010/111.7112.4514.18 2011/121.1312.3613.51 2012/130.9910.7811.93 2013/140.8213.9214.78 2014/151.2414.4815.74 Source: USDA
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Corn Usage bil. bu Source: USDA YearFeedFoodFuelExportsTotal 2009/105.131.354.591.9813.07 2010/114.791.415.021.8413.05 2011/124.551.435.011.5412.53 2012/134.331.374.640.7311.11 2013/145.181.405.121.9213.60 2014/155.381.415.121.7513.66
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Corn Usage Crop2004201020132014 Feed57.8%36.7%38.2%39.1% Food12.8%10.8%10.3% Exports17.1%14.0%14.2%12.9% Ethanol12.4%38.5%37.3%37.7%
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Other mostly Russia and Ukraine
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Corn futures prices 11/28/14 MonthPrice (cts/bu.) May 15397 Sept 15409 Dec 15417 Dec 16423
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Dec 2014 Corn Contract
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Source: CME Weekly Ethanol Outlook Report
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Ethanol 213 plants operating 5 under construction or expanding Current 14.4 bil. gal/yr – 5.1 bil. bu. Many were closed until corn price fell Source: Renewable Fuels Association
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PA Corn Crops YearMil. Bu.Yield 2005117.1122 2006117.1122 2007121.5124 2008117.0133 2009131.6143 2010116.5128 2011106.6111 2012132.0132 2013164.3155 2014152
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160 acres of wheat 11 minutes 8 seconds Winkler, Sask. 100 combines
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Old Mill
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Mill
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Wheat by Truck
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Wheat by Railcar
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Probing Truck
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Testing Equipment
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Dryer
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Wheat Silos
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Top of Silos
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Rollstands
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Roll Change
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Sifter
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Mill Spouting
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Bulk Trailers Loading
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Flour Trailer on Scale
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Price Discovery Futures Market Local Supply and Demand Grades & Standards
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Market Power Cargill & Continental Archer Daniels Midland Conagra Local Monopsony
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International Trade Multinationals Wheat Boards
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Summary Big Integrated System Price driven Market power important Space, time, and product form very important here The law of one price System works!
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