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Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health Expenditure WPVIII: Development of Scenarios for Health Care Expenditure in Germany Dr. Erika Schulz.

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Presentation on theme: "Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health Expenditure WPVIII: Development of Scenarios for Health Care Expenditure in Germany Dr. Erika Schulz."— Presentation transcript:

1 Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health Expenditure WPVIII: Development of Scenarios for Health Care Expenditure in Germany Dr. Erika Schulz

2 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Estimation of Health Care Expenditure –Based on data collected in WPVI –Estimations of determinantes of HCE carried out by IPH Denmark –Estimation model created by NIESR –and –AWG data for Gdp (growth rates) age0_5 age65_74 age75_ le65f le65m unemp Mortinterpol (calculated based on population and death)

3 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Development of total population in Germany

4 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

5 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

6 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

7 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of socio-economic variables (Model 0)

8 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of socio-economic variables (Model 6)

9 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of policy variables (Model 0)

10 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of policy variables (Model 6)

11 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of restrictions in long run income elasticity

12 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

13 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Results for Denmark

14 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Development of total population in Denmark

15 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

16 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

17 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

18 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of socio-economic variables (Model 0)

19 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of socio-economic variables (Model 6)

20 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of policy variables (Model 0)

21 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of policy variables (Model 6)

22 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007 Influence of restrictions in long run income elasticity - Denmark

23 Erika Schulz 28.06.2007

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