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Published byAlaina Casey Modified over 9 years ago
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W ASHINGTON C ROSSING A DVISORS Market and Economy Outlook
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W ASHINGTON C ROSSING A DVISORS 2013 Outlook Executive Summary Improving Fundamentals + Reasonable Valuations = Bullish Economy Grows 2% in 2013, Unemployment Moves Toward 7%, Profits Grow 6-7%, S&P 500 Fair Value = 1,537, Interest Rates Remain Historically Low Record-low Interest Rates and Large Deficits Remain – Government Debt Grows and Inflation Remains Positive Emerging Markets Offer Attractive Combination of Growth and Value Alternative Investments Provide Diversification Benefit Challenges Impose Significant Costs, Resources Are Also Significant
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Recent Fundamental Trends
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U.S. Stock Market Valuation
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Domestic Economy 2013 Forecast
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What is Driving the Economy?
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Key Trend #1: Employment
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Key Trend #2: Real Estate
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Key Trend #3: Manufacturing
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Key Trend #4: Income Growth
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Monetary Policy
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How Monetary Policy and the Credit Cycle Effect the Economy
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More Credit Produces Inflation – Some Empirical Evidence
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Government Fiscal Policy, Deficits and Debt
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Interest Rate Outlook
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Benefit of a Global View
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The Role of “Alternative” Assets In Portfolios
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US Wealth Perspective
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