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Will Personalized Medicine be the clue to eradicate TB?. Pere-Joan Cardona CONFER È NCIA DE L ’ EUROPAN PARLIAMENTARY TECHNOLOGY
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis is still the major killer of the humankind PER YEAR! 2 million deaths 10 million new TB cases 100 million new LTBI cases Prevalence of LTBI Currey et al 2007 7,7 142.3 million -7,7%- (18%) 7 130.2 million -7%- (12%) 85 1583.4 million -85%- (38%)
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Incidence of TB is still very high: about 10 milion/year
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Very much related to HIV prevalence
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Being resistance a growing issue.
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Proportion MDR among new TB (2010) WHO REPORT 2011
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Being resistance a growing issue.
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… and not that far from Europe…
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13 27 27 33 55 89 89
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The evolution of TB in Barcelona 1986-2010 cases/100,000 inhab. TB Program founded High incidence HIV-IDU association Prison inmates Lower incidence Less IDU among prison inmates. HIV-infection treated with HAART Increase in immigration 7,1/100000 Annual decline 10%
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…Very much related to poverty…
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WHY D O T S ??? BASES of TB Treatment Rifampicin Isoniazid Pyrazinamide Ethambutol Spontaneous mutation rate Bactericidal activity 10 8 10 5 10 3 10 6 100 5-10 3-4
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1 st Rule: the need to avoid resistance
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2 nd Rule: to treat all the different bacilli populations
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The “SHORT-TERM” CHEMOTHERAPY Sputum culture negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Log Bacillary load (in logs) Time (in months) HRZM HR Replicating bacilli Non-replicating bacilli H= isoniazid; R= rifampicin; Z=pyrazinamide; M=ethambutol
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The “SHORT-TERM” CHEMOTHERAPY can be even worse… 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 AEMO EMO Replicating bacilli Non-replicating bacilli A= aminoglycoside; E= ethionamide; M=ethambutol; O=ofloxacine Log Bacillary load (in logs) Time (in months)
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Nobody is perfect but Rifampicin and isoniazid…
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Is “D O T S” enough?
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Natural history of TB “Only” a 10% with LTBI will develop an active TB Primary TB Post primary TB Time (years) Log (bacilli/lung) Active TB LTBI
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The M. tuberculosis cycle Cardona et al. 2011
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PRESENCE OF NEW LESIONS ARE CONTROLLED THROUGH TIME TOWARDS A LOW RATE CT New lesions Old lesions weeks No of lesions Gil et al. 2010
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Risk of having active TB is higher soon after the infection… B Acute Phase Chronic Phase Chance to develop TB
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pO 2 ! % ?% ?% ?% ? Active disease in adults tends to focus in the upper lobes. This is because a high oxygen pressure and a lower capillary net that favors a delayed immune response.
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0,5 mm 20 mm Marzo et al. Submitted Towards Active TB
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0,5 mm Ø, d21 Marzo et al. Submitted Progression Towards Active TB
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1 mm Ø, d28 Marzo et al. Submitted
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2 mm Ø, d30 Marzo et al. Submitted
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8 mm Ø, d33 Marzo et al. Submitted
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The M. tuberculosis cycle: last sketch? Cardona PJ. 2012 … requiring a host’s hyper-reactivity from the beginning…
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The M. tuberculosis cycle: last sketch? Cardona PJ. 2012 The discovery of the host’s hyperreactivity will be the clue to identify the 5% of susceptible population…
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Tobin et al 2010
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The discovery of the host’s hyperreactivity will be the clue to identify the 5% of susceptible population… Tobin et al 2010
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Berry et al 2010
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THANK YOU !!!
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