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The growing demand for statistics: challenges and opportunities Pilar Martin-Guzman Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
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Significant increase in the demand for statistical information A challenging issue for official statisticians But every challenge is an opportunity
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Statisticians have taken advantage of these opportunities Statistical information has improved A “silent revolution” (Domingo Solans) But, do current statistics satisfy the users?
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The demand increases Traditional users grow and expand their fields of interest New users join in The scenario changes Users are more exacting on quality issues
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Traditional users International organisations (IMF) Governments Market players and enterprises Researchers Public at large
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Three groups of countries Well established democracies with market economies Countries in transition from non- democratic regimes with centrally planned economies Consolidating democracies
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Some newcomers Supranational organisations (ECB) Decision makers at regional and local level
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Changes in the scenario Globalisation The ICT revolution
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Some challenges from globalisation Massive migration inflows Internationalisation of the markets New interest in remote countries
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Some challenges from the ICT revolution New indicators are necessary Some of the present statistics become irrelevant Frequent up-dating of definitions and classifications
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The elements of quality Relevance Coherence Timeliness Interpretability Accessibility Accuracy
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Perception of the user Not necessarily coincident with the opinion of the producer It depends very much on expectations (statistical literacy) The impossibility to replicate surveys
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Decision makers and market players Accuracy versus timeliness What is really important about accuracy is not so much increasing it as measuring it (Sir Claus Moser, 2003)
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Researchers Consistency of time series Accessibility versus confidentiality Statistics used in new research fields: risks and opportunities.
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Groups deserving special attention The new decision makers The media
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Conclusions For a positive perception of the users, improving the statistical production is important: This is the task of official statisticians
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Conclusions But improving the statistical liteacy of the users is also important And this is a task for all statisticians
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