1. Pranab J. Baruah ID: 4670485 UK Industrial Energy Demand Contemporary Issues in Climate Change 15-MAR-2010 Norwich Business School University of East Anglia MBA 2010

2. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Industrial Energy Consumption Total Consumption 49% decrease in 38 years, 1970-2007 (@1.29%)

3. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Industrial Energy Consumption by Fuel % of Total

4. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Sectoral consumption trend Total change in Industry -7.1 mtoe (1990-2007)

5. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Industry sub-sector analysis Total change (between 1990-2007, top) and contribution from changing output and intensity

6. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Our Scenario General Assumptions Industrial energy = f (output, intensity) Energy consumption growth is same as sub-sector growth -GDP growth: 2% & Population growth 0.65% (70 mil in 2030) -Shift to manufacturing -Effects from increasing population embedded in GDP growth -Manufacturing growth is contributing significantly to GDP growth. Consumption in mtoe, intensity in mtoe/unit, growth rate in percentage

7. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Demand = base consumption (2007) * growth rate * energy intensity Projected Energy Demand

8. UK Energy Demand: Industry 15-MAR-2010 UEA MBA Fuel Mix Fuel mix will be decided on the basis of : -Current consumption trend of different fuel types -Dominant fuel used in the high growth industry Thank you ! Questions ? -Other industries and unclassified category has large impact. Also in unclassified energy intensity is increasing fastest. -Contrary to intuition, steel and iron energy has one of the highest energy intensity -Forecasting proper growth rate is crucial to the exercise