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Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

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Presentation on theme: "Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through."— Presentation transcript:

1 Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through Dec-2005, using NARR met data Oct-2004 through Dec-2004 used as model “spin-up” Results for Jan-2005 through Dec-2005 are presented, i.e., the entire year 2005 Unit emissions runs were carried out; then results multiplied by actual emissions Individual runs done for each plant; results added together in post-processing RGM emissions estimates from EPA’s 2005 National Emissions Inventory Emissions from plants have not been constant; this is a “snapshot” for one year Results were tabulated on a 0.5 o x 0.5 o grid (~50km) Pattern of deposition makes “sense” relative to plants modeled With just the 30 power plants, the maximum deposition grid cell is ~15 ug/m 2 -yr Adding in the other RGM sources, the maximum deposition grid cell is ~37 ug/m 2 -yr More than 100 cells have grid-cell fluxes of between 1-16 ug/m 2 -year All values are average deposition flux over a given grid cell, i.e., a 50km x 50km area Localized deposition can be significantly higher We have include the power plants + 16 other large RGM sources, but there are other mercury sources in the region Sources outside the region will also contribute to deposition So, this is only a “partial” picture of the mercury deposition pattern Methodology Results and Discussion

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3 We explicitly modeled sources representing about 90% of the RGM emissions in the four-state area, according to the 2005 NEI

4 15 Location of modeled power plant Here’s what we had before, when we just included the power plants

5 Here’s what we get when we add in other large RGM sources in the region Location of modeled power plant Location of other large RGM source

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7 Location of modeled power plant

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10 Just in case its helpful, here’s something I did a few weeks earlier… These are illustrative overall and time-series results just for one plant (Big Cajun) First map is for the overall simulation, over 15 months The second set of slides shows the time-series of deposition, on a finer-grid close-in to the source, that demonstrates how things evolve… for a unit emissions of RGM from the plant, for 3-hr time steps… This “movie” might be interesting to show?

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12 Movie showing illustrative simulation of deposition arising from 1 g/hr emissions of RGM from Big Cajun II power plant each frame represents 3 hours; four weeks shown actual plant emits ~9 g/hr RGM (according to 2005 National Emissions Inventory)

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