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Team M: Statistics & Financial Markets
Participants: Vanay Joynes, Lankenau High School Fanta Love, Girard Academic Music Program Oshane O’Meally, MLK Jr. High School Siaisha Sherman, William Penn High School
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Contents Objectives/Goals Background Procedure Results Conclusion
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Objectives/Goals We were aiming to …
Learn how to develop investment portfolios Learn how stock exchanges work Learn how successful investors think
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Background: For your information
The stock market is a “place” where stocks are bought and sold A portfolio is a collection of stocks one chooses Stock price = Market price Intrinsic (or true) value Return on capital – the profit a company’s stores or factories earn relative to the cost to build them Earnings yield - the profit a company earns relative to the stock price
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Background (continued): What Started It All
Stock markets trace back 600 years 1790, the first U.S. stock exchange was formed in Philadelphia 1792, the New York Stock and Exchange Board was formed by twenty four male merchants Stock markets today exist internationally The NYSE is located on Wall Street Prominent Wall Street investors: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Hetty Greene, Shelby Davis, Laura Choate, and Martin Whitman
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Procedures Criteria applied to develop individual portfolios:
Large, nationally known companies Stock price has been almost unchanged for the past two to five years High return on capital High earnings yield High profits per employee Stock is being purchased by well-known investors
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Procedures (continued)
After creating our portfolios we found the stock price of each company on June 19, 2007 and on July 18, 2007. From that information we obtained the percentage change in the prices. We then obtained the average percentage change in each portfolio in order to find the highest average percentage return. This finding determined the best performing investment portfolio during this period.
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Results Students Vanay -0.75% Oshane -3% Fanta 1% Siaisha -1.5%
Student name Name of company Stock price on June 19, 2007 Stock price on July 18, 2007 Percentage change in stock price Siaisha Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. $48.81 $48.04 -2% Comcast Corp. $28.10 $25.46 -9% Home Depot, Inc. $38.27 $40.04 5% Johnson & Johnson $62.42 $62.20 0% Student name Name of company Stock price on June 19, 2007 Stock price on July 18, 2007 Percentage change in stock price Fanta Intel Corp. $24.10 $25.06 4% American Power Corp. $45.57 $46.28 2% Bank of America $50.55 $49.36 -2% 21st Century Insurance Group $21.79 $21.83 0% Student Name Name of company Stock price on June 19, 2007 Stock price on July 18, 2007 Percentage change in stock price Oshane Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. $48.81 $48.05 -2% Verizon Communica-tions Inc. $43.07 $41.97 -3% Sprint Nextel Corp. $22.29 $21.16 -5% Toyota Motor Corp. $125.20 $122.49 Student name Name of company Stock price on June 19, 2007 Stock price on July 18, 2007 Percentage change in stock price Vanay Sony Corp. $54.18 $51.54 -5% Target Corp. $63.51 $68.02 7% McDonald’s Corp. $52.48 $52.20 0% Sprint Nextel Corp. $22.29 $21.16 Students Average percentage change in portfolio Vanay -0.75% Oshane -3% Fanta 1% Siaisha -1.5%
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Conclusion We created portfolios with four strong, well managed companies, and we analyzed graphs to follow the status of these companies. We simulated the Financial Trading System, a stock exchange game that gave us first-hand experience of real-time stock market trading. We calculated the average percentage change in the stock prices in each portfolio. We found that Fanta’s portfolio had the highest average percentage change, making her portfolio the one that performed best over that one-month period.
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Acknowledgments Dean Daniel Larson Prof. Donald Richards
Prof. David Haushalter Ms. Skyra Blanchard Mr. Eric Speight Siaisha Sherman UBMS Faculty and Staff Our Parents
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Questions?
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