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Published byMelissa Carroll Modified over 9 years ago
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An analysis of recent financial events through the lens of the Canadian System of National Accounts − Financial and Wealth Accounts November 3, 2009 Allan Tomas, Chief, Financial and Wealth Accounts
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 2 Fundamental shifts in saving behaviour and net lending positions among sectors in the Canadian economy The setting
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 3 Shift in total debt from governments and corporations to the household sector The setting
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 4 Economy increasingly wealth-driven, with growth in the value of assets, specifically in the household sector The setting
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 5 Securitization market for mortgages on the rise in Canada The setting
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 6 Mortgage market more conservative in Canada The setting
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 7 Household sector exposed to increasing interest rates given current debt levels Risk factors
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 8 Household sector portfolio takes on more risk Risk factors
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 9 Increased international integration of financial markets - Canadians' exposure increased - Foreign Property Rule Risk factors
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 10 IMPACT: Canadian institutional investors reduce foreign short-term debt in rapid response to global credit concerns (August 2007); foreign bonds follow suit in subsequent quarters Recent financial events
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 11 IMPACT: Immediate, marked and sustained change in Canadian institutional investors’ foreign portfolio investment at the outset of credit concerns Recent financial events
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 12 IMPACT: The cross-border repurchase agreements market also grinds to a halt in 2007 Recent financial events
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 13 IMPACT: In Canada, the asset-backed securities short-term paper market shuts down beginning mid-2007 Recent financial events
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 14 The policy reaction: liquidity injection Financial Inst +56 T- bills -50 mortg+32 repos Fed GOV’T +22 deposits, +46 T-bills Bank of Canada +32 repos+22 deposits ABSCMHC +50 mortg +50 bonds +24 bonds +24 claims +26 bonds Reaction +24 claims -10 T-bills
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 15 Reaction: T-Bills are mostly purchased by chartered banks Reaction
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 16 Reaction: Substantial new short-term borrowing by the federal government in 08q4; initially, no change in government net debt Reaction
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 17 Reaction: Credit crunch in Canada?...evidence for non-financial corporations…supply or demand? Reaction
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 18 Canadian economy slows from 2007 and then contracts Results
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 19 Canadian investors repatriated funds from international markets for the first time in 30 years Results
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 20 Canada and US stock markets slide Results
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 21 Household sector capital losses: Canada and United States Results
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 22 Point of Access – www.statcan.gc.ca The Daily CANSIM National Economic Accounts Module on: www.statcan.gc.ca www.statcan.gc.ca NBSA, FFA and BOP workshops Consultation with Statistics Canada analysts iead-info- dcrd@statcan.gc.ca iead-info- dcrd@statcan.gc.ca infobalance@statcan.gc.ca infobalance@statcan.gc.ca Ad-hoc analysis and data requests Canadian Economic Accounts Quarterly Review (CEAQR)
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 23 Release Dates – Financial Flow Accounts Financial Flow data are available approximately 60 days after the reference period. Release date Reference period 01-Dec-09 First quarter 2009 – Third quarter 2009 02-Mar-10 First quarter 2009 – Fourth quarter 2009 01-Jun-10 First quarter 2006 – First quarter 2010 01-Sep-10 First quarter 2010 – Second quarter 2010 01-Dec-10 First quarter 2010 – Third quarter 2010 02-Mar-11 First quarter 2010 – Fourth quarter 2010 Financial flow accounts 13-014-x and 13-010-x
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05/12/2015 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada 24 2009 Release Dates – National Balance Sheet Accounts National Balance Sheet Account data are available approximately 75 days after the reference period. Release date Reference period 14-Dec-09 First quarter 2009 – Third quarter 2009 15-Mar-10 First quarter 2009 – Fourth quarter 2009 21-Jun-10 First quarter 2006 – First quarter 2010 13-Sep-10 First quarter 2010 – Second quarter 2010 13-Dec-10 First quarter 2010 – Third quarter 2010 14-Mar-11 First quarter 2010 – Fourth quarter 2010 National balance sheet accounts 13-214-x and 13-010-x
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